Cebu Air Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

CEB Stock   28.00  0.85  3.13%   
Cebu Air's likelihood of distress is over 60% at the present time. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial distress in the next 2 years. Cebu Air's Probability of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Cebu Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Cebu balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cebu Air. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
  

Cebu Air Company probability of distress Analysis

Cebu Air's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Cebu Air Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 61%  
Most of Cebu Air's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Cebu Air is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Cebu Air probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Cebu Air odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Cebu Air financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cebu Air's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cebu Air is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cebu Air's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Cebu Air has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 61%. This is 43.26% higher than that of the Industrials sector and 42.82% higher than that of the Airlines industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Philippines stocks is 53.15% lower than that of the firm.

Cebu Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Cebu Air's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Cebu Air could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cebu Air by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Cebu Air is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Cebu Fundamentals

About Cebu Air Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Cebu Air's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Cebu Air using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cebu Air based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Other Information on Investing in Cebu Stock

Cebu Air financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cebu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cebu with respect to the benefits of owning Cebu Air security.