Snap Inc Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

SNAP Stock

USD 11.81 0.20 1.72%

Snap's odds of distress is below 50% at this time. It has small probability of experiencing financial distress in the next few years. Probability of distress prediction helps decision makers evaluate Snap's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Snap balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Snap Piotroski F Score and Snap Altman Z Score analysis.

As of 11/30/2024, Market Cap is likely to grow to about 23.9 B. Also, Enterprise Value is likely to grow to about 25.1 B

Snap Inc Company probability of distress Analysis

Snap's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Snap Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 45%

Most of Snap's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Snap Inc is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Snap probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Snap odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Snap Inc financial health.

Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Snap. If investors know Snap will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Snap listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Earnings Share

(0.58)

Revenue Per Share

3.133

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.155

Return On Assets

(0.08)

Return On Equity

(0.41)

The market value of Snap Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Snap that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Snap's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Snap's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Snap's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Snap's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Snap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Snap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Snap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Snap Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Snap is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Snap Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Snap's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Snap's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Snap's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Tangible Assets	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Good Will	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Total Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Short Term Investments	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock	Current Deferred Revenue
Total Assets		0.85	0.43	0.87	-0.93	0.83	0.89	0.99	1.0	0.86	0.97	0.91	0.9	0.86	1.0	0.96	0.87	0.91	0.81	0.9	0.91	0.9	0.88	0.39
Total Stockholder Equity	0.85		0.84	0.61	-0.83	0.64	0.65	0.79	0.85	0.6	0.87	0.66	0.89	0.82	0.85	0.78	0.94	0.93	0.86	0.78	0.63	0.62	0.7	0.29
Net Tangible Assets	0.43	0.84		0.2	-0.49	0.29	0.21	0.35	0.43	0.17	0.52	0.23	0.61	0.59	0.43	0.34	0.69	0.68	0.63	0.43	0.14	0.14	0.32	0.14
Net Debt	0.87	0.61	0.2		-0.93	0.92	0.96	0.88	0.86	0.97	0.84	0.97	0.74	0.78	0.87	0.84	0.61	0.78	0.6	0.86	0.84	0.82	0.87	0.48
Retained Earnings	-0.93	-0.83	-0.49	-0.93		-0.9	-0.93	-0.93	-0.93	-0.9	-0.95	-0.92	-0.9	-0.93	-0.93	-0.9	-0.78	-0.95	-0.79	-0.86	-0.79	-0.76	-0.88	-0.44
Accounts Payable	0.83	0.64	0.29	0.92	-0.9		0.95	0.83	0.83	0.97	0.8	0.95	0.67	0.8	0.82	0.77	0.66	0.74	0.59	0.74	0.83	0.8	0.92	0.3
Long Term Debt	0.89	0.65	0.21	0.96	-0.93	0.95		0.91	0.89	0.99	0.85	0.99	0.72	0.77	0.89	0.88	0.69	0.78	0.64	0.8	0.89	0.86	0.93	0.38
Net Receivables	0.99	0.79	0.35	0.88	-0.93	0.83	0.91		0.99	0.88	0.96	0.92	0.88	0.85	0.99	0.98	0.82	0.89	0.78	0.86	0.92	0.9	0.89	0.43
Good Will	1.0	0.85	0.43	0.86	-0.93	0.83	0.89	0.99		0.86	0.97	0.9	0.9	0.86	0.99	0.96	0.88	0.91	0.82	0.87	0.91	0.89	0.88	0.36
Long Term Debt Total	0.86	0.6	0.17	0.97	-0.9	0.97	0.99	0.88	0.86		0.8	0.99	0.67	0.74	0.86	0.84	0.64	0.73	0.6	0.78	0.9	0.88	0.94	0.38
Capital Surpluse	0.97	0.87	0.52	0.84	-0.95	0.8	0.85	0.96	0.97	0.8		0.84	0.97	0.93	0.96	0.92	0.83	0.96	0.83	0.87	0.79	0.77	0.81	0.42
Total Liab	0.91	0.66	0.23	0.97	-0.92	0.95	0.99	0.92	0.9	0.99	0.84		0.72	0.76	0.9	0.89	0.7	0.78	0.66	0.83	0.92	0.9	0.95	0.39
Long Term Investments	0.9	0.89	0.61	0.74	-0.9	0.67	0.72	0.88	0.9	0.67	0.97	0.72		0.91	0.9	0.85	0.79	0.95	0.85	0.85	0.65	0.63	0.69	0.45
Short Long Term Debt	0.86	0.82	0.59	0.78	-0.93	0.8	0.77	0.85	0.86	0.74	0.93	0.76	0.91		0.85	0.78	0.72	0.94	0.75	0.74	0.64	0.6	0.73	0.38
Total Current Assets	1.0	0.85	0.43	0.87	-0.93	0.82	0.89	0.99	0.99	0.86	0.96	0.9	0.9	0.85		0.95	0.87	0.9	0.81	0.91	0.91	0.9	0.88	0.4
Short Term Debt	0.96	0.78	0.34	0.84	-0.9	0.77	0.88	0.98	0.96	0.84	0.92	0.89	0.85	0.78	0.95		0.81	0.86	0.78	0.82	0.9	0.88	0.88	0.52
Intangible Assets	0.87	0.94	0.69	0.61	-0.78	0.66	0.69	0.82	0.88	0.64	0.83	0.7	0.79	0.72	0.87	0.81		0.84	0.81	0.76	0.76	0.75	0.75	0.16
Common Stock	0.91	0.93	0.68	0.78	-0.95	0.74	0.78	0.89	0.91	0.73	0.96	0.78	0.95	0.94	0.9	0.86	0.84		0.87	0.82	0.68	0.66	0.76	0.41
Property Plant Equipment	0.81	0.86	0.63	0.6	-0.79	0.59	0.64	0.78	0.82	0.6	0.83	0.66	0.85	0.75	0.81	0.78	0.81	0.87		0.67	0.64	0.64	0.76	0.15
Short Term Investments	0.9	0.78	0.43	0.86	-0.86	0.74	0.8	0.86	0.87	0.78	0.87	0.83	0.85	0.74	0.91	0.82	0.76	0.82	0.67		0.78	0.78	0.73	0.5
Net Invested Capital	0.91	0.63	0.14	0.84	-0.79	0.83	0.89	0.92	0.91	0.9	0.79	0.92	0.65	0.64	0.91	0.9	0.76	0.68	0.64	0.78		1.0	0.91	0.3
Net Working Capital	0.9	0.62	0.14	0.82	-0.76	0.8	0.86	0.9	0.89	0.88	0.77	0.9	0.63	0.6	0.9	0.88	0.75	0.66	0.64	0.78	1.0		0.9	0.3
Capital Stock	0.88	0.7	0.32	0.87	-0.88	0.92	0.93	0.89	0.88	0.94	0.81	0.95	0.69	0.73	0.88	0.88	0.75	0.76	0.76	0.73	0.91	0.9		0.31
Current Deferred Revenue	0.39	0.29	0.14	0.48	-0.44	0.3	0.38	0.43	0.36	0.38	0.42	0.39	0.45	0.38	0.4	0.52	0.16	0.41	0.15	0.5	0.3	0.3	0.31

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Snap

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Snap Inc has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 45.0%. This is 12.82% lower than that of the Interactive Media & Services sector and significantly higher than that of the Communication Services industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 12.98% lower than that of the firm.

Snap Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Snap's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Snap could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Snap by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Snap is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Snap Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.46)	(0.26)	(0.19)	(0.0647)	(0.18)	(0.17)
Gross Profit Margin	0.32	0.48	0.53	0.57	0.61	0.54
Net Debt	716.8M	1.5B	637.2M	2.8B	2.6B	2.7B
Total Current Liabilities	499.7M	667.3M	851.8M	1.2B	1.1B	674.1M
Non Current Liabilities Total	1.3B	2.0B	2.9B	4.2B	4.4B	4.6B
Total Assets	4.0B	5.0B	7.5B	8.0B	8.0B	5.1B
Total Current Assets	2.6B	3.3B	4.9B	5.3B	5.0B	3.3B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	(305.0M)	(167.6M)	292.9M	184.6M	246.5M	258.8M

Snap ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Snap's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Snap's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Snap Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	-0.41
	Return On Asset	-0.0766
	Profit Margin	(0.18) %
	Operating Margin	(0.13) %
	Current Valuation	20.52 B
	Shares Outstanding	1.42 B
	Shares Owned By Insiders	23.95 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	60.90 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	66.37 M
	Price To Earning	(5.04) X
	Price To Book	8.81 X
	Price To Sales	3.77 X
	Revenue	4.61 B
	Gross Profit	2.81 B
	EBITDA	(1.1 B)
	Net Income	(1.32 B)
	Cash And Equivalents	4.43 B
	Cash Per Share	2.75 X
	Total Debt	4.34 B
	Debt To Equity	1.44 %
	Current Ratio	4.86 X
	Book Value Per Share	1.32 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	246.52 M
	Short Ratio	1.95 X
	Earnings Per Share	(0.58) X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	496.06 X
	Target Price	13.1
	Number Of Employees	4.8 K
	Beta	1.0
	Market Capitalization	19.47 B
	Total Asset	7.97 B
	Retained Earnings	(11.73 B)
	Working Capital	3.84 B
	Net Asset	7.97 B

About Snap Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Snap Inc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Snap using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Snap Inc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Snap

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Snap position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Snap will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Snap Stock

0.67	EVER	EverQuote Class A	Pair Corr
0.65	TC	TuanChe ADR	Pair Corr
0.38	MAX	MediaAlpha	Pair Corr

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Snap could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Snap when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Snap - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Snap Inc to buy it.

The correlation of Snap is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Snap moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Snap Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Snap can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair Correlation Correlation Matching

Additional Tools for Snap Stock Analysis

When running Snap's price analysis, check to measure Snap's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Snap is operating at the current time. Most of Snap's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Snap's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Snap's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Snap to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

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Snap Inc Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Snap Inc Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Snap Probability Of Bankruptcy

Snap Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Snap Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Snap Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Snap ESG Sustainability

Snap Fundamentals

About Snap Fundamental Analysis

Pair Trading with Snap

Moving against Snap Stock

Additional Tools for Snap Stock Analysis

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