Is Axsome Therapeutics Stock a Good Investment?

Axsome Therapeutics Investment Advice

  AXSM
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Axsome Therapeutics stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Axsome Therapeutics. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Axsome Therapeutics in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Axsome Therapeutics' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Axsome Therapeutics' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Axsome Therapeutics navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Pharmaceuticals space and any emerging trends that could impact Axsome Therapeutics' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Axsome Therapeutics' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Axsome Therapeutics is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Axsome Therapeutics pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Axsome Therapeutics' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Axsome Therapeutics stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Axsome Therapeutics is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Cautious Hold
Macroaxis provides advice on Axsome Therapeutics to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Axsome Therapeutics. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Axsome Therapeutics is not overpriced, please confirm all Axsome Therapeutics fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and number of employees . Given that Axsome Therapeutics has a number of shares shorted of 7.69 M, we suggest you to validate Axsome Therapeutics market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Axsome Therapeutics Stock

Researching Axsome Therapeutics' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 6.58. Axsome Therapeutics had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Axsome Therapeutics is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Axsome Therapeutics' research are outlined below:
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 270.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (239.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.94 M.
Axsome Therapeutics currently holds about 73.39 M in cash with (145.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.82.
Axsome Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Axsome Therapeutics Research Analysts Recent Ratings Changes
Axsome Therapeutics uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Axsome Therapeutics. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Axsome Therapeutics' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
20th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
20th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Axsome Therapeutics' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Axsome Therapeutics' investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2018-08-08
2018-06-30-0.29-0.32-0.0310 
2016-05-11
2016-03-31-0.28-0.31-0.0310 
2017-08-09
2017-06-30-0.34-0.30.0411 
2017-11-08
2017-09-30-0.34-0.270.0720 
2019-08-08
2019-06-30-0.33-0.41-0.0824 
2021-05-10
2021-03-31-0.87-0.780.0910 
2018-05-08
2018-03-31-0.28-0.190.0932 
2021-08-09
2021-06-30-0.96-0.860.110 

Know Axsome Therapeutics' Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Axsome Therapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axsome Therapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Axsome Therapeutics' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Axsome Therapeutics' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Deep Track Capital, Lp2024-09-30
857.2 K
Eventide Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
827.9 K
Perceptive Advisors Llc2024-09-30
782.8 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-09-30
742.7 K
Alethea Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
738.5 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-09-30
625.2 K
Hood River Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
625.1 K
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-09-30
542.6 K
Adage Capital Partners Gp Llc2024-09-30
525 K
Rtw Investments, Llc2024-09-30
4.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
M
Note, although Axsome Therapeutics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Axsome Therapeutics' market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 4.83 B.

Market Cap

3.8 Billion

Axsome Therapeutics' profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.46)(0.48)
Return On Capital Employed(0.52)(0.54)
Return On Assets(0.41)(0.43)
Return On Equity(1.25)(1.19)
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.92) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.44) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.44.
Determining Axsome Therapeutics' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Axsome Therapeutics is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Axsome Therapeutics' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Axsome Therapeutics' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Axsome Therapeutics' Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Evaluate Axsome Therapeutics' management efficiency

Axsome Therapeutics has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2644) % which means that it has lost $0.2644 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (1.7161) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Axsome Therapeutics' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Axsome Therapeutics manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 2nd of December 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.48. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.54. At this time, Axsome Therapeutics' Other Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 2nd of December 2024, Intangibles To Total Assets is likely to grow to 0.18, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.48).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 4.20  4.41 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 2.77  2.90 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(15.18)(15.94)
Price Book Value Ratio 18.93  19.88 
Enterprise Value Multiple(15.18)(15.94)
Price Fair Value 18.93  19.88 
Enterprise Value3.4 B3.6 B
Leadership at Axsome Therapeutics emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Beta
1.252

Basic technical analysis of Axsome Stock

As of the 2nd of December, Axsome Therapeutics shows the Mean Deviation of 1.78, risk adjusted performance of 0.0653, and Downside Deviation of 2.01. Axsome Therapeutics technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Axsome Therapeutics standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Axsome Therapeutics is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 99.08 per share. Given that Axsome Therapeutics has jensen alpha of 0.1091, we suggest you to validate Axsome Therapeutics's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Axsome Therapeutics' insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Axsome Therapeutics insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Axsome Therapeutics' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Axsome Therapeutics insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Axsome Therapeutics' Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Axsome Therapeutics issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Axsome Therapeutics uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Axsome bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Axsome Therapeutics has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Axsome Therapeutics' technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Axsome Therapeutics' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Axsome Therapeutics' intraday indicators

Axsome Therapeutics intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Axsome Therapeutics stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Axsome Therapeutics Corporate Filings

8K
26th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
20th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
12th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
F3
24th of October 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
Axsome Therapeutics time-series forecasting models is one of many Axsome Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Axsome Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Axsome Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Axsome Therapeutics that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Axsome media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Axsome internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Axsome data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Axsome Therapeutics news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Axsome Therapeutics relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Axsome Therapeutics' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Axsome Therapeutics alpha.

Axsome Therapeutics Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Axsome Therapeutics can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Axsome Therapeutics Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Axsome Therapeutics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Axsome. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Axsome can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Axsome Therapeutics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Axsome Therapeutics' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Axsome Therapeutics and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Axsome Therapeutics news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Axsome Therapeutics.

Axsome Therapeutics Corporate Management

Hunter EsqGeneral SecretaryProfile
Amanda PharmDSenior DevelopmentProfile
Lori MBAExecutive DevelopmentProfile
Kevin PharmDEx StrategyProfile
Mark MAChief OfficerProfile

Already Invested in Axsome Therapeutics?

The danger of trading Axsome Therapeutics is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Axsome Therapeutics is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Axsome Therapeutics. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Axsome Therapeutics is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Axsome Therapeutics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Axsome Therapeutics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Axsome Therapeutics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Axsome Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Axsome Therapeutics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
To learn how to invest in Axsome Stock, please use our How to Invest in Axsome Therapeutics guide.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axsome Therapeutics. If investors know Axsome will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axsome Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(6.58)
Revenue Per Share
7.108
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.813
Return On Assets
(0.26)
Return On Equity
(1.72)
The market value of Axsome Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axsome that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axsome Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axsome Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axsome Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axsome Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Axsome Therapeutics' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Axsome Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axsome Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.