Is Chipotle Mexican Stock a Good Investment?

Chipotle Mexican Investment Advice

  CMG
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Chipotle Mexican Grill stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Chipotle Mexican Grill. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Chipotle Mexican in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Chipotle Mexican's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Chipotle Mexican's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Chipotle Mexican navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space and any emerging trends that could impact Chipotle Mexican's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Chipotle Mexican's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Chipotle Mexican is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Chipotle Mexican pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Chipotle Mexican's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Chipotle Mexican Grill stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Chipotle Mexican Grill is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Hold
Macroaxis provides unbiased investment recommendation on Chipotle Mexican Grill that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Chipotle Mexican Grill. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Chipotle Mexican is not overpriced, please confirm all Chipotle Mexican Grill fundamentals, including its revenue, total debt, and the relationship between the price to earning and net income . Given that Chipotle Mexican Grill has a price to earning of 106.17 X, we suggest you to validate Chipotle Mexican Grill market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Chipotle Mexican Stock

Researching Chipotle Mexican's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.15. Chipotle Mexican Grill had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 50:1 split on the 26th of June 2024.
To determine if Chipotle Mexican is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Chipotle Mexican's research are outlined below:
Chipotle Mexican is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: CMG Investors Have Opportunity to Lead Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Securities Fraud Lawsuit

Chipotle Mexican Quarterly Accounts Payable

221.3 Million

Chipotle Mexican uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Chipotle Mexican Grill. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Chipotle Mexican's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
6th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
23rd of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
6th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Chipotle Mexican's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Chipotle Mexican's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-07-22
2020-06-300.0070.0080.00114 
2007-02-15
2006-12-310.00560.00660.00117 
2006-03-13
2005-12-310.00220.00320.00145 
2007-05-01
2007-03-310.00640.00760.001218 
2006-07-31
2006-06-300.0050.00660.001632 
2007-10-30
2007-09-300.01060.01240.001816 
2006-10-31
2006-09-300.00540.00720.001833 
2006-05-08
2006-03-310.00240.00520.0028116 

Know Chipotle Mexican's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Chipotle Mexican is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chipotle Mexican Grill backward and forwards among themselves. Chipotle Mexican's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Chipotle Mexican's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-06-30
21.6 M
Edgewood Management Llc2024-09-30
21.3 M
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
20.1 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
17.7 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
16.4 M
Franklin Resources Inc2024-09-30
13.8 M
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-06-30
13.5 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
13 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
12.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
120.7 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
109.5 M
Note, although Chipotle Mexican's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Chipotle Mexican's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 83.83 B.

Market Cap

21.94 Billion

Chipotle Mexican's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.15  0.16 
Return On Capital Employed 0.22  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.15  0.16 
Return On Equity 0.40  0.42 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.14 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.17 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.17 of operating income.
Determining Chipotle Mexican's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Chipotle Mexican is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Chipotle Mexican's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Chipotle Mexican's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Chipotle Mexican's management efficiency

Chipotle Mexican Grill has Return on Asset of 0.1401 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.1401 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.4567 %, implying that it generated $0.4567 on every 100 dollars invested. Chipotle Mexican's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Chipotle Mexican manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Chipotle Mexican's Return On Equity is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. At this time, Chipotle Mexican's Other Current Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Chipotle Mexican's current Total Current Assets is estimated to increase to about 1.7 B, while Other Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 83.5 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 2.22  2.33 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 2.21  2.32 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 34.28  20.46 
Price Book Value Ratio 20.58  21.61 
Enterprise Value Multiple 34.28  20.46 
Price Fair Value 20.58  21.61 
Enterprise Value23 B24.2 B
Chipotle Mexican Grill has shown resilience through effective management strategies. Our analysis examines how these strategies influence financial outcomes and investor returns which helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Beta
1.266

Basic technical analysis of Chipotle Stock

As of the 30th of November, Chipotle Mexican shows the Mean Deviation of 1.28, risk adjusted performance of 0.0739, and Downside Deviation of 2.17. Chipotle Mexican Grill technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Chipotle Mexican Grill standard deviation, value at risk, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Chipotle Mexican Grill is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 61.52 per share. Given that Chipotle Mexican has jensen alpha of 0.0312, we suggest you to validate Chipotle Mexican Grill's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Chipotle Mexican's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Chipotle Mexican insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Chipotle Mexican's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Chipotle Mexican insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Chipotle Mexican's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Chipotle Mexican issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Chipotle Mexican Grill uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Chipotle bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Chipotle Mexican Grill has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Chipotle Mexican's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Chipotle Mexican's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Chipotle Mexican's intraday indicators

Chipotle Mexican intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Chipotle Mexican stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Chipotle Mexican Corporate Filings

F4
14th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
12th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
4th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
10Q
30th of October 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
Chipotle Mexican time-series forecasting models is one of many Chipotle Mexican's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Chipotle Mexican's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Chipotle Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Chipotle Mexican that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Chipotle media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Chipotle internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Chipotle data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Chipotle Mexican news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Chipotle Mexican relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Chipotle Mexican's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Chipotle Mexican alpha.

Chipotle Mexican Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Chipotle Mexican can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Chipotle Mexican's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Chipotle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chipotle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chipotle Mexican Grill. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Chipotle Mexican's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Chipotle Mexican and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Chipotle Mexican news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Chipotle Mexican.

Chipotle Mexican Corporate Directors

Ali NamvarIndependent DirectorProfile
Neil FlanzraichLead Independent DirectorProfile
Robin HickenlooperIndependent DirectorProfile
Scott MawLead Independent DirectorProfile
When determining whether Chipotle Mexican Grill is a strong investment it is important to analyze Chipotle Mexican's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Chipotle Mexican's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Chipotle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Chipotle Mexican Grill. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chipotle Mexican. If investors know Chipotle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chipotle Mexican listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.231
Earnings Share
1.08
Revenue Per Share
8.012
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.13
Return On Assets
0.1401
The market value of Chipotle Mexican Grill is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chipotle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chipotle Mexican's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chipotle Mexican's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chipotle Mexican's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chipotle Mexican's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Chipotle Mexican's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Chipotle Mexican is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chipotle Mexican's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.