Travel Leisure (UK) Market Value

0M1K Stock   58.15  0.50  0.87%   
Travel Leisure's market value is the price at which a share of Travel Leisure trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Travel Leisure Co investors about its performance. Travel Leisure is selling for under 58.15 as of the 17th of December 2024; that is 0.87% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 44.84.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Travel Leisure Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Travel Leisure over a given investment horizon. Check out Travel Leisure Correlation, Travel Leisure Volatility and Travel Leisure Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Travel Leisure.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Travel Leisure's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Travel Leisure is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Travel Leisure's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Travel Leisure 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Travel Leisure's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Travel Leisure.
0.00
12/28/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/17/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Travel Leisure on December 28, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Travel Leisure Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Travel Leisure over 720 days. Travel Leisure is related to or competes with Samsung Electronics, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai, Reliance Industries, MOL Hungarian, Panasonic Corp, and Halyk Bank. Travel Leisure is entity of United Kingdom More

Travel Leisure Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Travel Leisure's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Travel Leisure Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Travel Leisure Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Travel Leisure's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Travel Leisure's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Travel Leisure historical prices to predict the future Travel Leisure's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.0458.1558.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.9258.0263.97
Details

Travel Leisure Backtested Returns

Currently, Travel Leisure Co is very steady. Travel Leisure owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the firm had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty technical indicators for Travel Leisure Co, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Travel Leisure's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0312, variance of 0.0114, and Coefficient Of Variation of 812.4 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0136%. Travel Leisure has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.0086, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Travel Leisure are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Travel Leisure is likely to outperform the market. Travel Leisure right now has a risk of 0.11%. Please validate Travel Leisure market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, variance, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Travel Leisure will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.92  

Excellent predictability

Travel Leisure Co has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Travel Leisure time series from 28th of December 2022 to 23rd of December 2023 and 23rd of December 2023 to 17th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Travel Leisure price movement. The serial correlation of 0.92 indicates that approximately 92.0% of current Travel Leisure price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.92
Spearman Rank Test0.99
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.31

Travel Leisure lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Travel Leisure stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Travel Leisure's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Travel Leisure returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Travel Leisure has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Travel Leisure regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Travel Leisure stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Travel Leisure stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Travel Leisure stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Travel Leisure Lagged Returns

When evaluating Travel Leisure's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Travel Leisure stock have on its future price. Travel Leisure autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Travel Leisure autocorrelation shows the relationship between Travel Leisure stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Travel Leisure Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Travel Stock Analysis

When running Travel Leisure's price analysis, check to measure Travel Leisure's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Travel Leisure is operating at the current time. Most of Travel Leisure's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Travel Leisure's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Travel Leisure's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Travel Leisure to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.