Senao International (Taiwan) Market Value

2450 Stock  TWD 32.00  0.25  0.78%   
Senao International's market value is the price at which a share of Senao International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Senao International Co investors about its performance. Senao International is selling for under 32.00 as of the 21st of December 2024; that is 0.78 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 32.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Senao International Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Senao International over a given investment horizon. Check out Senao International Correlation, Senao International Volatility and Senao International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Senao International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Senao International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Senao International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Senao International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Senao International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Senao International's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Senao International.
0.00
09/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Senao International on September 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Senao International Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Senao International over 90 days. Senao International is related to or competes with Merida Industry, Cheng Shin, Uni President, and Pou Chen. Senao International Co., Ltd. provides mobile handheld devices for various distributors in China More

Senao International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Senao International's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Senao International Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Senao International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Senao International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Senao International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Senao International historical prices to predict the future Senao International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.4032.0032.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.8033.0233.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.4131.0131.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.1934.2136.24
Details

Senao International Backtested Returns

Senao International owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.27, which indicates the firm had a -0.27% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Senao International Co exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Senao International's Coefficient Of Variation of (396.79), risk adjusted performance of (0.20), and Variance of 0.3594 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0681, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Senao International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Senao International is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Senao International has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to validate Senao International's total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Senao International performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.45  

Average predictability

Senao International Co has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Senao International time series from 22nd of September 2024 to 6th of November 2024 and 6th of November 2024 to 21st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Senao International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current Senao International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.45
Spearman Rank Test0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.59

Senao International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Senao International stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Senao International's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Senao International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Senao International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Senao International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Senao International stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Senao International stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Senao International stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Senao International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Senao International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Senao International stock have on its future price. Senao International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Senao International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Senao International stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Senao International Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Senao Stock Analysis

When running Senao International's price analysis, check to measure Senao International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Senao International is operating at the current time. Most of Senao International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Senao International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Senao International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Senao International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.