SOGECLAIR (Germany) Market Value

2U0 Stock   18.25  0.45  2.41%   
SOGECLAIR's market value is the price at which a share of SOGECLAIR trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SOGECLAIR SA INH investors about its performance. SOGECLAIR is trading at 18.25 as of the 13th of December 2024. This is a 2.41% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 18.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SOGECLAIR SA INH and determine expected loss or profit from investing in SOGECLAIR over a given investment horizon. Check out SOGECLAIR Correlation, SOGECLAIR Volatility and SOGECLAIR Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on SOGECLAIR.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between SOGECLAIR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SOGECLAIR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SOGECLAIR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

SOGECLAIR 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SOGECLAIR's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SOGECLAIR.
0.00
12/24/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in SOGECLAIR on December 24, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SOGECLAIR SA INH or generate 0.0% return on investment in SOGECLAIR over 720 days. SOGECLAIR is related to or competes with Airbus SE, Superior Plus, Origin Agritech, INTUITIVE SURGICAL, Intel, Reliance Steel, and Rolls Royce. More

SOGECLAIR Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SOGECLAIR's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SOGECLAIR SA INH upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

SOGECLAIR Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SOGECLAIR's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SOGECLAIR's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SOGECLAIR historical prices to predict the future SOGECLAIR's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.0918.1520.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.1715.2219.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.2118.2720.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.8217.5218.23
Details

SOGECLAIR SA INH Backtested Returns

SOGECLAIR SA INH owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0384, which indicates the firm had a -0.0384% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. SOGECLAIR SA INH exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate SOGECLAIR's risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Variance of 4.56 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.47, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, SOGECLAIR's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding SOGECLAIR is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, SOGECLAIR SA INH has a negative expected return of -0.0792%. Please make sure to validate SOGECLAIR's coefficient of variation, variance, and the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if SOGECLAIR SA INH performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.29  

Poor predictability

SOGECLAIR SA INH has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SOGECLAIR time series from 24th of December 2022 to 19th of December 2023 and 19th of December 2023 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SOGECLAIR SA INH price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current SOGECLAIR price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.29
Spearman Rank Test0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.07

SOGECLAIR SA INH lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is SOGECLAIR stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SOGECLAIR's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SOGECLAIR returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SOGECLAIR has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

SOGECLAIR regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SOGECLAIR stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SOGECLAIR stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SOGECLAIR stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

SOGECLAIR Lagged Returns

When evaluating SOGECLAIR's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SOGECLAIR stock have on its future price. SOGECLAIR autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SOGECLAIR autocorrelation shows the relationship between SOGECLAIR stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SOGECLAIR SA INH.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in SOGECLAIR Stock

SOGECLAIR financial ratios help investors to determine whether SOGECLAIR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SOGECLAIR with respect to the benefits of owning SOGECLAIR security.