SI TECH (China) Market Value

300608 Stock   13.20  0.08  0.61%   
SI TECH's market value is the price at which a share of SI TECH trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SI TECH Information Technology investors about its performance. SI TECH is trading at 13.20 as of the 22nd of December 2024, a 0.61 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 13.12.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SI TECH Information Technology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in SI TECH over a given investment horizon. Check out SI TECH Correlation, SI TECH Volatility and SI TECH Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on SI TECH.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between SI TECH's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SI TECH is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SI TECH's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

SI TECH 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SI TECH's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SI TECH.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in SI TECH on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SI TECH Information Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in SI TECH over 30 days. SI TECH is related to or competes with Railway Signal, XinJiang GuoTong, Linewell Software, Yuan Longping, Quectel Wireless, Anhui Jianghuai, and Western Superconducting. SI TECH is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

SI TECH Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SI TECH's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SI TECH Information Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

SI TECH Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SI TECH's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SI TECH's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SI TECH historical prices to predict the future SI TECH's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.9612.6918.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.1811.9117.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.2612.9918.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.0913.1514.21
Details

SI TECH Information Backtested Returns

SI TECH appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. SI TECH Information retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which indicates the firm had a 0.12% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. By examining SI TECH's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.7% is justified by implied risk. Please review SI TECH's Mean Deviation of 3.56, downside deviation of 5.81, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1226 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, SI TECH holds a performance score of 9. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.54, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, SI TECH's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding SI TECH is expected to be smaller as well. Please check SI TECH's market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether SI TECH's current price history will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.72  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

SI TECH Information Technology has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SI TECH time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SI TECH Information price movement. The serial correlation of -0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current SI TECH price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.72
Spearman Rank Test-0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.26

SI TECH Information lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is SI TECH stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SI TECH's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SI TECH returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SI TECH has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

SI TECH regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SI TECH stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SI TECH stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SI TECH stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

SI TECH Lagged Returns

When evaluating SI TECH's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SI TECH stock have on its future price. SI TECH autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SI TECH autocorrelation shows the relationship between SI TECH stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SI TECH Information Technology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 300608 Stock

SI TECH financial ratios help investors to determine whether 300608 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 300608 with respect to the benefits of owning SI TECH security.