Bright Led (Taiwan) Market Value

3031 Stock  TWD 21.80  0.20  0.91%   
Bright Led's market value is the price at which a share of Bright Led trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bright Led Electronics investors about its performance. Bright Led is selling for under 21.80 as of the 3rd of December 2024; that is 0.91% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 21.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bright Led Electronics and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bright Led over a given investment horizon. Check out Bright Led Correlation, Bright Led Volatility and Bright Led Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bright Led.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Bright Led's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bright Led is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bright Led's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bright Led 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bright Led's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bright Led.
0.00
12/14/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bright Led on December 14, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bright Led Electronics or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bright Led over 720 days. Bright Led is related to or competes with Taiwan Semiconductor, Yang Ming, AU Optronics, Innolux Corp, Nan Ya, and Chunghwa Telecom. Bright LED Electronics Corp. manufactures and sells LED products More

Bright Led Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bright Led's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bright Led Electronics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bright Led Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bright Led's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bright Led's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bright Led historical prices to predict the future Bright Led's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.6421.8024.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.2619.4222.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.2723.4326.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.8721.5122.15
Details

Bright Led Electronics Backtested Returns

Bright Led appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Bright Led Electronics secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0737, which signifies that the company had a 0.0737% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Bright Led Electronics, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Bright Led's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0461, downside deviation of 2.42, and Mean Deviation of 2.21 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Bright Led holds a performance score of 5. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.36, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Bright Led's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Bright Led is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Bright Led's mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Bright Led's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.49  

Average predictability

Bright Led Electronics has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bright Led time series from 14th of December 2022 to 9th of December 2023 and 9th of December 2023 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bright Led Electronics price movement. The serial correlation of 0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current Bright Led price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.49
Spearman Rank Test0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.1

Bright Led Electronics lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bright Led stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bright Led's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bright Led returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bright Led has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bright Led regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bright Led stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bright Led stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bright Led stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bright Led Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bright Led's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bright Led stock have on its future price. Bright Led autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bright Led autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bright Led stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bright Led Electronics.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Bright Stock Analysis

When running Bright Led's price analysis, check to measure Bright Led's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bright Led is operating at the current time. Most of Bright Led's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bright Led's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bright Led's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bright Led to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.