Primax Electronics (Taiwan) Market Value

4915 Stock  TWD 80.30  0.40  0.50%   
Primax Electronics' market value is the price at which a share of Primax Electronics trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Primax Electronics investors about its performance. Primax Electronics is selling for under 80.30 as of the 5th of December 2024; that is 0.50 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 79.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Primax Electronics and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Primax Electronics over a given investment horizon. Check out Primax Electronics Correlation, Primax Electronics Volatility and Primax Electronics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Primax Electronics.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Primax Electronics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Primax Electronics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Primax Electronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Primax Electronics 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Primax Electronics' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Primax Electronics.
0.00
12/16/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/05/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Primax Electronics on December 16, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Primax Electronics or generate 0.0% return on investment in Primax Electronics over 720 days. Primax Electronics is related to or competes with Flexium Interconnect, Radiant Opto, Merry Electronics, BizLink Holding, and Powertech Technology. Primax Electronics Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells computer peripherals and non-computer pe... More

Primax Electronics Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Primax Electronics' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Primax Electronics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Primax Electronics Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Primax Electronics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Primax Electronics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Primax Electronics historical prices to predict the future Primax Electronics' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.8080.3082.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.0870.5888.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
75.9578.4580.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
79.0280.3681.69
Details

Primax Electronics Backtested Returns

Primax Electronics maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0422, which implies the firm had a -0.0422% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Primax Electronics exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Primax Electronics' Coefficient Of Variation of (1,526), variance of 6.05, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.0372, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Primax Electronics' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Primax Electronics is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Primax Electronics has a negative expected return of -0.11%. Please make sure to check Primax Electronics' mean deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Primax Electronics performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.60  

Good predictability

Primax Electronics has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Primax Electronics time series from 16th of December 2022 to 11th of December 2023 and 11th of December 2023 to 5th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Primax Electronics price movement. The serial correlation of 0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Primax Electronics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.6
Spearman Rank Test0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance132.26

Primax Electronics lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Primax Electronics stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Primax Electronics' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Primax Electronics returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Primax Electronics has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Primax Electronics regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Primax Electronics stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Primax Electronics stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Primax Electronics stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Primax Electronics Lagged Returns

When evaluating Primax Electronics' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Primax Electronics stock have on its future price. Primax Electronics autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Primax Electronics autocorrelation shows the relationship between Primax Electronics stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Primax Electronics.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Primax Stock Analysis

When running Primax Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Primax Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Primax Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Primax Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Primax Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Primax Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Primax Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.