Epoxy Base (China) Market Value

603002 Stock   6.35  0.10  1.60%   
Epoxy Base's market value is the price at which a share of Epoxy Base trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Epoxy Base Electronic investors about its performance. Epoxy Base is trading at 6.35 as of the 11th of December 2024, a 1.60 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 6.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Epoxy Base Electronic and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Epoxy Base over a given investment horizon. Check out Epoxy Base Correlation, Epoxy Base Volatility and Epoxy Base Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Epoxy Base.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Epoxy Base's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Epoxy Base is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Epoxy Base's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Epoxy Base 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Epoxy Base's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Epoxy Base.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Epoxy Base on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Epoxy Base Electronic or generate 0.0% return on investment in Epoxy Base over 30 days. Epoxy Base is related to or competes with Zijin Mining, Wanhua Chemical, Baoshan Iron, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Hoshine Silicon. Epoxy Base is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Epoxy Base Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Epoxy Base's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Epoxy Base Electronic upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Epoxy Base Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Epoxy Base's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Epoxy Base's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Epoxy Base historical prices to predict the future Epoxy Base's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.406.0910.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.305.9910.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.327.0011.69
Details

Epoxy Base Electronic Backtested Returns

Epoxy Base appears to be moderately volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Epoxy Base Electronic secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which denotes the company had a 0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing Epoxy Base's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.76% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Epoxy Base's Coefficient Of Variation of 700.57, mean deviation of 3.19, and Downside Deviation of 4.77 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Epoxy Base holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.47, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Epoxy Base's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Epoxy Base is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Epoxy Base's downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Epoxy Base's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.52  

Good reverse predictability

Epoxy Base Electronic has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Epoxy Base time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Epoxy Base Electronic price movement. The serial correlation of -0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Epoxy Base price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.52
Spearman Rank Test-0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.34

Epoxy Base Electronic lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Epoxy Base stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Epoxy Base's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Epoxy Base returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Epoxy Base has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Epoxy Base regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Epoxy Base stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Epoxy Base stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Epoxy Base stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Epoxy Base Lagged Returns

When evaluating Epoxy Base's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Epoxy Base stock have on its future price. Epoxy Base autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Epoxy Base autocorrelation shows the relationship between Epoxy Base stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Epoxy Base Electronic.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Epoxy Stock

Epoxy Base financial ratios help investors to determine whether Epoxy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Epoxy with respect to the benefits of owning Epoxy Base security.