Lumax International (Taiwan) Market Value

6192 Stock  TWD 108.50  1.00  0.91%   
Lumax International's market value is the price at which a share of Lumax International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lumax International Corp investors about its performance. Lumax International is selling for under 108.50 as of the 22nd of December 2024; that is 0.91 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 108.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lumax International Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lumax International over a given investment horizon. Check out Lumax International Correlation, Lumax International Volatility and Lumax International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lumax International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Lumax International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lumax International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lumax International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lumax International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lumax International's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lumax International.
0.00
01/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lumax International on January 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lumax International Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lumax International over 720 days. Lumax International is related to or competes with Syscom Computer, Jetwell Computer, Silicon Power, Sunfar Computer, RiTdisplay Corp, Dimension Computer, and Loop Telecommunicatio. Lumax International Corp., Ltd. engages in the wholesale of electronic materials in Taiwan and China More

Lumax International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lumax International's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lumax International Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lumax International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lumax International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lumax International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lumax International historical prices to predict the future Lumax International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
107.09108.50109.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.65110.25111.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
108.63110.03111.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
104.74107.97111.21
Details

Lumax International Corp Backtested Returns

Lumax International Corp has Sharpe Ratio of -0.1, which conveys that the firm had a -0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lumax International exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lumax International's Mean Deviation of 1.11, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Standard Deviation of 1.44 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.35, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Lumax International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Lumax International is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Lumax International Corp has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to verify Lumax International's total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Lumax International Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

Lumax International Corp has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lumax International time series from 2nd of January 2023 to 28th of December 2023 and 28th of December 2023 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lumax International Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Lumax International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance104.53

Lumax International Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lumax International stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lumax International's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lumax International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lumax International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Lumax International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lumax International stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lumax International stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lumax International stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Lumax International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lumax International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lumax International stock have on its future price. Lumax International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lumax International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lumax International stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lumax International Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Lumax Stock Analysis

When running Lumax International's price analysis, check to measure Lumax International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lumax International is operating at the current time. Most of Lumax International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lumax International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lumax International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lumax International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.