INPOST SA (Germany) Market Value

669 Stock  EUR 16.05  0.17  1.05%   
INPOST SA's market value is the price at which a share of INPOST SA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of INPOST SA EO investors about its performance. INPOST SA is trading at 16.05 as of the 22nd of December 2024. This is a 1.05% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 15.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of INPOST SA EO and determine expected loss or profit from investing in INPOST SA over a given investment horizon. Check out INPOST SA Correlation, INPOST SA Volatility and INPOST SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on INPOST SA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between INPOST SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if INPOST SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, INPOST SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

INPOST SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to INPOST SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of INPOST SA.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in INPOST SA on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding INPOST SA EO or generate 0.0% return on investment in INPOST SA over 30 days. INPOST SA is related to or competes with Cintas, RENTOKIL INITIAL, Elis SA, PARK24, PARK24 SPONS, and RELO GROUP. InPost S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an e-commerce enablement platform providing parcel locker servi... More

INPOST SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure INPOST SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess INPOST SA EO upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

INPOST SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for INPOST SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as INPOST SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use INPOST SA historical prices to predict the future INPOST SA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6016.0517.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2616.7118.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.3115.7617.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.7516.5317.31
Details

INPOST SA EO Backtested Returns

INPOST SA EO holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0525, which attests that the entity had a -0.0525% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. INPOST SA EO exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out INPOST SA's risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.21) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.42, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, INPOST SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding INPOST SA is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, INPOST SA EO has a negative expected return of -0.0758%. Please make sure to check out INPOST SA's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if INPOST SA EO performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.80  

Very good predictability

INPOST SA EO has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between INPOST SA time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of INPOST SA EO price movement. The serial correlation of 0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current INPOST SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.8
Spearman Rank Test0.67
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

INPOST SA EO lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is INPOST SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting INPOST SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of INPOST SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that INPOST SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

INPOST SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If INPOST SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if INPOST SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in INPOST SA stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

INPOST SA Lagged Returns

When evaluating INPOST SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of INPOST SA stock have on its future price. INPOST SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, INPOST SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between INPOST SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in INPOST SA EO.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in INPOST Stock

INPOST SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether INPOST Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INPOST with respect to the benefits of owning INPOST SA security.