Kontour Medical (China) Market Value

688314 Stock   30.49  0.12  0.40%   
Kontour Medical's market value is the price at which a share of Kontour Medical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kontour Medical Technology investors about its performance. Kontour Medical is trading at 30.49 as of the 4th of December 2024, a 0.40% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 30.37.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kontour Medical Technology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kontour Medical over a given investment horizon. Check out Kontour Medical Correlation, Kontour Medical Volatility and Kontour Medical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kontour Medical.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kontour Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kontour Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kontour Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kontour Medical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kontour Medical's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kontour Medical.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kontour Medical on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kontour Medical Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kontour Medical over 30 days. Kontour Medical is related to or competes with Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, G Bits, Beijing Roborock, BYD Co, Anhui Gujing, and Anhui Gujing. Kontour Medical is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

Kontour Medical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kontour Medical's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kontour Medical Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kontour Medical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kontour Medical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kontour Medical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kontour Medical historical prices to predict the future Kontour Medical's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.9131.3534.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.4328.8732.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.0729.5232.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.1228.9629.81
Details

Kontour Medical Tech Backtested Returns

Kontour Medical appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Kontour Medical Tech has Sharpe Ratio of 0.13, which conveys that the firm had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Kontour Medical, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Kontour Medical's Mean Deviation of 2.31, risk adjusted performance of 0.1448, and Downside Deviation of 2.88 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Kontour Medical holds a performance score of 10. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.11, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Kontour Medical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kontour Medical is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Kontour Medical's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Kontour Medical's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.21  

Weak reverse predictability

Kontour Medical Technology has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kontour Medical time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kontour Medical Tech price movement. The serial correlation of -0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current Kontour Medical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.21
Spearman Rank Test0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.79

Kontour Medical Tech lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kontour Medical stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kontour Medical's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kontour Medical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kontour Medical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kontour Medical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kontour Medical stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kontour Medical stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kontour Medical stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kontour Medical Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kontour Medical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kontour Medical stock have on its future price. Kontour Medical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kontour Medical autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kontour Medical stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kontour Medical Technology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Kontour Stock

Kontour Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kontour Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kontour with respect to the benefits of owning Kontour Medical security.