Invion (Germany) Market Value

7C8 Stock  EUR 0.15  0.04  21.05%   
Invion's market value is the price at which a share of Invion trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invion Limited investors about its performance. Invion is trading at 0.15 as of the 17th of December 2024. This is a 21.05 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.15.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invion Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invion over a given investment horizon. Check out Invion Correlation, Invion Volatility and Invion Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invion.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invion 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invion's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invion.
0.00
11/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/17/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invion on November 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invion Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invion over 30 days. Invion is related to or competes with RETAIL FOOD, Marie Brizard, TRADEGATE, and JAPAN TOBACCO. Invion Limited, a clinical-stage drug development company, develops treatments for inflammatory diseases in Australia an... More

Invion Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invion's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invion Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invion Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invion's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invion's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invion historical prices to predict the future Invion's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1557.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1857.68
Details

Invion Limited Backtested Returns

Invion is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Invion Limited holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.12, which attests that the entity had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 14.51% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Invion Limited Downside Deviation of 44.59, market risk adjusted performance of 0.2184, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1187 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Invion holds a performance score of 9 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 86.88, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Invion will likely underperform. Use Invion Limited sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to analyze future returns on Invion Limited.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.49  

Modest reverse predictability

Invion Limited has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invion time series from 17th of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024 and 2nd of December 2024 to 17th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invion Limited price movement. The serial correlation of -0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current Invion price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.49
Spearman Rank Test-0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Invion Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invion stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invion's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invion returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invion has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invion regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invion stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invion stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invion stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invion Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invion's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invion stock have on its future price. Invion autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invion autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invion stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invion Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Invion Stock

Invion financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invion Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invion with respect to the benefits of owning Invion security.