Brunello Cucinelli (Germany) Market Value

8BU Stock  EUR 103.30  1.40  1.37%   
Brunello Cucinelli's market value is the price at which a share of Brunello Cucinelli trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Brunello Cucinelli SpA investors about its performance. Brunello Cucinelli is trading at 103.30 as of the 21st of December 2024. This is a 1.37% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 103.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Brunello Cucinelli SpA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Brunello Cucinelli over a given investment horizon. Check out Brunello Cucinelli Correlation, Brunello Cucinelli Volatility and Brunello Cucinelli Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Brunello Cucinelli.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Brunello Cucinelli's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brunello Cucinelli is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brunello Cucinelli's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Brunello Cucinelli 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Brunello Cucinelli's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Brunello Cucinelli.
0.00
11/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Brunello Cucinelli on November 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Brunello Cucinelli SpA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Brunello Cucinelli over 30 days. Brunello Cucinelli is related to or competes with LVMH Mot, LVMH Mot, and Swatch. Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells clothing and accessories in ... More

Brunello Cucinelli Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Brunello Cucinelli's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Brunello Cucinelli SpA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Brunello Cucinelli Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Brunello Cucinelli's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Brunello Cucinelli's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Brunello Cucinelli historical prices to predict the future Brunello Cucinelli's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.90103.30105.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.97117.94120.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.50101.90104.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
89.3198.43107.55
Details

Brunello Cucinelli SpA Backtested Returns

Brunello Cucinelli appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Brunello Cucinelli SpA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Brunello Cucinelli SpA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Brunello Cucinelli's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1002, downside deviation of 1.7, and Mean Deviation of 1.59 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Brunello Cucinelli holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.22, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Brunello Cucinelli's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Brunello Cucinelli is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Brunello Cucinelli's jensen alpha, sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Brunello Cucinelli's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Brunello Cucinelli SpA has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Brunello Cucinelli time series from 21st of November 2024 to 6th of December 2024 and 6th of December 2024 to 21st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Brunello Cucinelli SpA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Brunello Cucinelli price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.59
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance12.9

Brunello Cucinelli SpA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Brunello Cucinelli stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Brunello Cucinelli's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Brunello Cucinelli returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Brunello Cucinelli has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Brunello Cucinelli regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Brunello Cucinelli stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Brunello Cucinelli stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Brunello Cucinelli stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Brunello Cucinelli Lagged Returns

When evaluating Brunello Cucinelli's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Brunello Cucinelli stock have on its future price. Brunello Cucinelli autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Brunello Cucinelli autocorrelation shows the relationship between Brunello Cucinelli stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Brunello Cucinelli SpA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Brunello Stock

Brunello Cucinelli financial ratios help investors to determine whether Brunello Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Brunello with respect to the benefits of owning Brunello Cucinelli security.