Aqua America (Germany) Market Value
| A2A Stock | EUR 34.70 0.13 0.37% |
| Symbol | Aqua |
Aqua America 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aqua America's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aqua America.
| 11/22/2024 |
| 12/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Aqua America on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aqua America or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aqua America over 30 days. Aqua America is related to or competes with American Water, United Utilities, Companhia, Guangdong Investment, Gelsenwasser, and American States. Aqua America, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates regulated utilities that provide water or wastewater services in ... More
Aqua America Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aqua America's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aqua America upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.027 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.96 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.61 |
Aqua America Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aqua America's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aqua America's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aqua America historical prices to predict the future Aqua America's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0433 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0599 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0207 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0313 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.6001 |
Aqua America Backtested Returns
At this point, Aqua America is very steady. Aqua America secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.046, which signifies that the company had a 0.046% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Aqua America, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Aqua America's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0433, downside deviation of 1.28, and Mean Deviation of 0.9887 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0681%. Aqua America has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.1, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Aqua America's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aqua America is expected to be smaller as well. Aqua America right now shows a risk of 1.48%. Please confirm Aqua America treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to decide if Aqua America will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.76 |
Good predictability
Aqua America has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aqua America time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aqua America price movement. The serial correlation of 0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Aqua America price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.76 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.38 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.83 |
Aqua America lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Aqua America stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aqua America's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aqua America returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aqua America has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Aqua America regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aqua America stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aqua America stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aqua America stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Aqua America Lagged Returns
When evaluating Aqua America's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aqua America stock have on its future price. Aqua America autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aqua America autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aqua America stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aqua America.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Aqua Stock
Aqua America financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aqua Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aqua with respect to the benefits of owning Aqua America security.