Agnc Investment Corp Preferred Stock Market Value

AGNCM Preferred Stock  USD 25.46  0.25  0.99%   
AGNC Investment's market value is the price at which a share of AGNC Investment trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AGNC Investment Corp investors about its performance. AGNC Investment is selling at 25.46 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.99% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's lowest day price was 25.31.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AGNC Investment Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AGNC Investment over a given investment horizon. Check out AGNC Investment Correlation, AGNC Investment Volatility and AGNC Investment Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AGNC Investment.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AGNC Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AGNC Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AGNC Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AGNC Investment 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AGNC Investment's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AGNC Investment.
0.00
11/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AGNC Investment on November 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AGNC Investment Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in AGNC Investment over 30 days. AGNC Investment is related to or competes with Annaly Capital, Annaly Capital, AGNC Investment, AGNC Investment, MFA Financial, Two Harbors, and Invesco Mortgage. AGNC Investment Corp. operates as a real estate investment trust in the United States More

AGNC Investment Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AGNC Investment's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AGNC Investment Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AGNC Investment Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AGNC Investment's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AGNC Investment's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AGNC Investment historical prices to predict the future AGNC Investment's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AGNC Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.1125.4625.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.8925.2425.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.1225.4625.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.8325.1125.39
Details

AGNC Investment Corp Backtested Returns

As of now, AGNC Preferred Stock is very steady. AGNC Investment Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which signifies that the company had a 0.15% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for AGNC Investment Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm AGNC Investment's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1041, mean deviation of 0.2465, and Semi Deviation of 0.0643 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.053%. AGNC Investment has a performance score of 12 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0254, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, AGNC Investment's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AGNC Investment is expected to be smaller as well. AGNC Investment Corp at this time shows a risk of 0.35%. Please confirm AGNC Investment Corp total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if AGNC Investment Corp will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.15  

Insignificant reverse predictability

AGNC Investment Corp has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AGNC Investment time series from 2nd of November 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AGNC Investment Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current AGNC Investment price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.15
Spearman Rank Test0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

AGNC Investment Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AGNC Investment preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AGNC Investment's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AGNC Investment returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AGNC Investment has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AGNC Investment regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AGNC Investment preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AGNC Investment preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AGNC Investment preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AGNC Investment Lagged Returns

When evaluating AGNC Investment's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AGNC Investment preferred stock have on its future price. AGNC Investment autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AGNC Investment autocorrelation shows the relationship between AGNC Investment preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AGNC Investment Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in AGNC Preferred Stock

AGNC Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether AGNC Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AGNC with respect to the benefits of owning AGNC Investment security.