AMADEUS IT (Germany) Market Value

AI3B Stock  EUR 66.00  0.50  0.75%   
AMADEUS IT's market value is the price at which a share of AMADEUS IT trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AMADEUS IT GRP investors about its performance. AMADEUS IT is trading at 66.00 as of the 22nd of December 2024. This is a 0.75% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 66.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AMADEUS IT GRP and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AMADEUS IT over a given investment horizon. Check out AMADEUS IT Correlation, AMADEUS IT Volatility and AMADEUS IT Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AMADEUS IT.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AMADEUS IT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMADEUS IT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMADEUS IT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AMADEUS IT 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AMADEUS IT's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AMADEUS IT.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AMADEUS IT on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AMADEUS IT GRP or generate 0.0% return on investment in AMADEUS IT over 30 days. AMADEUS IT is related to or competes with Accenture Plc, International Business, Infosys, Cognizant Technology, Amadeus IT, and FUJITSU. Amadeus IT Group, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a transaction processor for the travel and tourism i... More

AMADEUS IT Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AMADEUS IT's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AMADEUS IT GRP upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AMADEUS IT Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AMADEUS IT's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AMADEUS IT's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AMADEUS IT historical prices to predict the future AMADEUS IT's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.7566.0067.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.0066.2567.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
62.3063.5564.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.4667.2870.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AMADEUS IT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AMADEUS IT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AMADEUS IT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AMADEUS IT GRP.

AMADEUS IT GRP Backtested Returns

At this point, AMADEUS IT is very steady. AMADEUS IT GRP retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0247, which signifies that the company had a 0.0247% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for AMADEUS IT, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm AMADEUS IT's coefficient of variation of 2942.79, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.7252 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0308%. AMADEUS IT has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0455, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, AMADEUS IT's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AMADEUS IT is expected to be smaller as well. AMADEUS IT GRP at this time owns a risk of 1.25%. Please confirm AMADEUS IT GRP semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if AMADEUS IT GRP will be following its current price history.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.64  

Very good reverse predictability

AMADEUS IT GRP has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AMADEUS IT time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AMADEUS IT GRP price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current AMADEUS IT price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.64
Spearman Rank Test-0.55
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.5

AMADEUS IT GRP lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AMADEUS IT stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AMADEUS IT's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AMADEUS IT returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AMADEUS IT has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AMADEUS IT regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AMADEUS IT stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AMADEUS IT stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AMADEUS IT stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AMADEUS IT Lagged Returns

When evaluating AMADEUS IT's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AMADEUS IT stock have on its future price. AMADEUS IT autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AMADEUS IT autocorrelation shows the relationship between AMADEUS IT stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AMADEUS IT GRP.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in AMADEUS Stock

AMADEUS IT financial ratios help investors to determine whether AMADEUS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AMADEUS with respect to the benefits of owning AMADEUS IT security.