AIM Commercial (Thailand) Market Value

AIMCG Stock   3.06  0.04  1.32%   
AIM Commercial's market value is the price at which a share of AIM Commercial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AIM Commercial Growth investors about its performance. AIM Commercial is trading at 3.06 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 1.32 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 3.02.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AIM Commercial Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AIM Commercial over a given investment horizon. Check out AIM Commercial Correlation, AIM Commercial Volatility and AIM Commercial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AIM Commercial.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AIM Commercial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AIM Commercial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AIM Commercial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AIM Commercial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AIM Commercial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AIM Commercial.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AIM Commercial on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AIM Commercial Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in AIM Commercial over 720 days. AIM Commercial is related to or competes with Delta Electronics, Delta Electronics, Airports, Airports, PTT Public, PTT Public, and Intouch Holdings. More

AIM Commercial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AIM Commercial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AIM Commercial Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AIM Commercial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AIM Commercial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AIM Commercial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AIM Commercial historical prices to predict the future AIM Commercial's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.653.064.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.723.134.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.683.084.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.953.113.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AIM Commercial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AIM Commercial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AIM Commercial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AIM Commercial Growth.

AIM Commercial Growth Backtested Returns

At this point, AIM Commercial is slightly risky. AIM Commercial Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0069, which signifies that the company had a 0.0069% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for AIM Commercial Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm AIM Commercial's Mean Deviation of 0.9975, coefficient of variation of (14,671), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.0006) to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0097%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, AIM Commercial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AIM Commercial is expected to be smaller as well. AIM Commercial Growth at this time shows a risk of 1.41%. Please confirm AIM Commercial Growth treynor ratio, accumulation distribution, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if AIM Commercial Growth will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.23  

Weak reverse predictability

AIM Commercial Growth has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AIM Commercial time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AIM Commercial Growth price movement. The serial correlation of -0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current AIM Commercial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.23
Spearman Rank Test-0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

AIM Commercial Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AIM Commercial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AIM Commercial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AIM Commercial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AIM Commercial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AIM Commercial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AIM Commercial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AIM Commercial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AIM Commercial stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AIM Commercial Lagged Returns

When evaluating AIM Commercial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AIM Commercial stock have on its future price. AIM Commercial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AIM Commercial autocorrelation shows the relationship between AIM Commercial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AIM Commercial Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in AIM Stock

AIM Commercial financial ratios help investors to determine whether AIM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AIM with respect to the benefits of owning AIM Commercial security.