Akre Focus Fund Market Value

AKRSX Fund  USD 71.43  0.85  1.20%   
Akre Focus' market value is the price at which a share of Akre Focus trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Akre Focus Fund investors about its performance. Akre Focus is trading at 71.43 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 1.20 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 70.58.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Akre Focus Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Akre Focus over a given investment horizon. Check out Akre Focus Correlation, Akre Focus Volatility and Akre Focus Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Akre Focus.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Akre Focus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Akre Focus is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Akre Focus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Akre Focus 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Akre Focus' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Akre Focus.
0.00
12/23/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Akre Focus on December 23, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Akre Focus Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Akre Focus over 720 days. Akre Focus is related to or competes with Akre Focus, and Cavanal Hill. The fund invests primarily in securities of companies listed on U.S More

Akre Focus Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Akre Focus' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Akre Focus Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Akre Focus Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Akre Focus' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Akre Focus' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Akre Focus historical prices to predict the future Akre Focus' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Akre Focus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.5271.4372.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.8971.8072.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
67.2568.1569.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
70.1173.8477.58
Details

Akre Focus Fund Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Akre Mutual Fund to be very steady. Akre Focus Fund secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0156, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0156% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Akre Focus Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Akre Focus' Mean Deviation of 0.6331, risk adjusted performance of 0.0215, and Downside Deviation of 1.1 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0141%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.8, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Akre Focus' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Akre Focus is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.66  

Good predictability

Akre Focus Fund has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Akre Focus time series from 23rd of December 2022 to 18th of December 2023 and 18th of December 2023 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Akre Focus Fund price movement. The serial correlation of 0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Akre Focus price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.66
Spearman Rank Test0.67
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance18.83

Akre Focus Fund lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Akre Focus mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Akre Focus' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Akre Focus returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Akre Focus has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Akre Focus regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Akre Focus mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Akre Focus mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Akre Focus mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Akre Focus Lagged Returns

When evaluating Akre Focus' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Akre Focus mutual fund have on its future price. Akre Focus autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Akre Focus autocorrelation shows the relationship between Akre Focus mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Akre Focus Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Akre Mutual Fund

Akre Focus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Akre Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Akre with respect to the benefits of owning Akre Focus security.
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