Ambra SA (Poland) Market Value
| AMB Stock | 22.55 0.40 1.74% |
| Symbol | Ambra |
Ambra SA 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ambra SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ambra SA.
| 11/04/2024 |
| 12/04/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ambra SA on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ambra SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ambra SA over 30 days. More
Ambra SA Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ambra SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ambra SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.64) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.76 |
Ambra SA Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ambra SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ambra SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ambra SA historical prices to predict the future Ambra SA's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.27) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.41) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ambra SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ambra SA Backtested Returns
Currently, Ambra SA is very steady. Ambra SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0336, which signifies that the company had a 0.0336% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Ambra SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Ambra SA's mean deviation of 1.28, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0582%. Ambra SA has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0868, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ambra SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ambra SA is expected to be smaller as well. Ambra SA right now shows a risk of 1.73%. Please confirm Ambra SA standard deviation, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Ambra SA will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.21 |
Weak predictability
Ambra SA has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ambra SA time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ambra SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current Ambra SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.21 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.03 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.16 |
Ambra SA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ambra SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ambra SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ambra SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ambra SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ambra SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ambra SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ambra SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ambra SA stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ambra SA Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ambra SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ambra SA stock have on its future price. Ambra SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ambra SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ambra SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ambra SA.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Ambra SA
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ambra SA position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ambra SA will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Ambra Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ambra SA could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ambra SA when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ambra SA - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ambra SA to buy it.
The correlation of Ambra SA is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ambra SA moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ambra SA moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ambra SA can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Ambra Stock Analysis
When running Ambra SA's price analysis, check to measure Ambra SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ambra SA is operating at the current time. Most of Ambra SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ambra SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ambra SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ambra SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.