Advanced Micro (Germany) Market Value

AMD Stock   116.30  0.26  0.22%   
Advanced Micro's market value is the price at which a share of Advanced Micro trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Advanced Micro Devices investors about its performance. Advanced Micro is selling for under 116.30 as of the 22nd of December 2024; that is 0.22 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 111.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Advanced Micro Devices and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Advanced Micro over a given investment horizon. Check out Advanced Micro Correlation, Advanced Micro Volatility and Advanced Micro Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Advanced Micro.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Advanced Micro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Advanced Micro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Advanced Micro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Advanced Micro 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Advanced Micro's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Advanced Micro.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Advanced Micro on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Advanced Micro Devices or generate 0.0% return on investment in Advanced Micro over 30 days. Advanced Micro is related to or competes with NVIDIA, Taiwan Semiconductor, Broadcom, Texas Instruments, QUALCOMM Incorporated, Advanced Micro, and Advanced Micro. More

Advanced Micro Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Advanced Micro's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Advanced Micro Devices upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Advanced Micro Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Advanced Micro's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Advanced Micro's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Advanced Micro historical prices to predict the future Advanced Micro's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Advanced Micro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.07116.30118.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
102.44104.67127.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
110.42112.65114.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
110.85123.50136.15
Details

Advanced Micro Devices Backtested Returns

Advanced Micro Devices secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which signifies that the company had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Advanced Micro Devices exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Advanced Micro's Standard Deviation of 2.24, mean deviation of 1.57, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.39, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Advanced Micro's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Advanced Micro is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Advanced Micro Devices has a negative expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to confirm Advanced Micro's skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and price action indicator , to decide if Advanced Micro Devices performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.48  

Modest reverse predictability

Advanced Micro Devices has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Advanced Micro time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Advanced Micro Devices price movement. The serial correlation of -0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Advanced Micro price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.48
Spearman Rank Test-0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance10.06

Advanced Micro Devices lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Advanced Micro stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Advanced Micro's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Advanced Micro returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Advanced Micro has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Advanced Micro regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Advanced Micro stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Advanced Micro stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Advanced Micro stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Advanced Micro Lagged Returns

When evaluating Advanced Micro's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Advanced Micro stock have on its future price. Advanced Micro autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Advanced Micro autocorrelation shows the relationship between Advanced Micro stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Advanced Micro Devices.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Advanced Stock Analysis

When running Advanced Micro's price analysis, check to measure Advanced Micro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advanced Micro is operating at the current time. Most of Advanced Micro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advanced Micro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advanced Micro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advanced Micro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.