Asiri Surgical (Sri Lanka) Market Value

AMSLN0000  LKR 10.80  0.10  0.92%   
Asiri Surgical's market value is the price at which a share of Asiri Surgical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Asiri Surgical Hospital investors about its performance. Asiri Surgical is trading at 10.80 as of the 15th of December 2024, a 0.92 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 10.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Asiri Surgical Hospital and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Asiri Surgical over a given investment horizon. Check out Asiri Surgical Correlation, Asiri Surgical Volatility and Asiri Surgical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Asiri Surgical.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Asiri Surgical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Asiri Surgical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Asiri Surgical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Asiri Surgical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Asiri Surgical's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Asiri Surgical.
0.00
11/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Asiri Surgical on November 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Asiri Surgical Hospital or generate 0.0% return on investment in Asiri Surgical over 30 days. More

Asiri Surgical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Asiri Surgical's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Asiri Surgical Hospital upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Asiri Surgical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Asiri Surgical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Asiri Surgical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Asiri Surgical historical prices to predict the future Asiri Surgical's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.9210.8012.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.0710.9512.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.9610.8412.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6911.0011.31
Details

Asiri Surgical Hospital Backtested Returns

Asiri Surgical Hospital secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0386, which signifies that the company had a -0.0386% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Asiri Surgical Hospital exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Asiri Surgical's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0016, standard deviation of 1.83, and Mean Deviation of 1.44 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.59, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Asiri Surgical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Asiri Surgical is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Asiri Surgical Hospital has a negative expected return of -0.0726%. Please make sure to confirm Asiri Surgical's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and market facilitation index , to decide if Asiri Surgical Hospital performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.16  

Very weak predictability

Asiri Surgical Hospital has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Asiri Surgical time series from 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024 and 30th of November 2024 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Asiri Surgical Hospital price movement. The serial correlation of 0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current Asiri Surgical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.16
Spearman Rank Test0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Asiri Surgical Hospital lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Asiri Surgical stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Asiri Surgical's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Asiri Surgical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Asiri Surgical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Asiri Surgical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Asiri Surgical stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Asiri Surgical stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Asiri Surgical stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Asiri Surgical Lagged Returns

When evaluating Asiri Surgical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Asiri Surgical stock have on its future price. Asiri Surgical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Asiri Surgical autocorrelation shows the relationship between Asiri Surgical stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Asiri Surgical Hospital.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Asiri Stock

Asiri Surgical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asiri Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asiri with respect to the benefits of owning Asiri Surgical security.