Aerodrome (Israel) Market Value

APLY Stock  ILA 72.00  5.30  7.95%   
Aerodrome's market value is the price at which a share of Aerodrome trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aerodrome Group investors about its performance. Aerodrome is trading at 72.00 as of the 26th of December 2024, a 7.95 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 66.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aerodrome Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aerodrome over a given investment horizon. Check out Aerodrome Correlation, Aerodrome Volatility and Aerodrome Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aerodrome.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aerodrome's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aerodrome is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aerodrome's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aerodrome 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aerodrome's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aerodrome.
0.00
11/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aerodrome on November 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aerodrome Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aerodrome over 30 days. Aerodrome is related to or competes with Aquarius Engines, BioLight Life, Infimer, GP Global, Wilk Technologies, Apollo Power, and Priortech. Aerodrome Group Ltd operates as a digital performance marketing company More

Aerodrome Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aerodrome's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aerodrome Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aerodrome Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aerodrome's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aerodrome's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aerodrome historical prices to predict the future Aerodrome's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.4572.0087.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.9872.5388.08
Details

Aerodrome Group Backtested Returns

Aerodrome is not too volatile given 3 months investment horizon. Aerodrome Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 2.39% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Aerodrome Downside Deviation of 6.47, risk adjusted performance of 0.0653, and Mean Deviation of 6.55 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Aerodrome holds a performance score of 12 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.9, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Aerodrome will likely underperform. Use Aerodrome sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to analyze future returns on Aerodrome.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.35  

Poor reverse predictability

Aerodrome Group has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aerodrome time series from 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024 and 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aerodrome Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Aerodrome price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.35
Spearman Rank Test0.39
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance16.42

Aerodrome Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aerodrome stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aerodrome's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aerodrome returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aerodrome has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aerodrome regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aerodrome stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aerodrome stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aerodrome stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aerodrome Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aerodrome's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aerodrome stock have on its future price. Aerodrome autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aerodrome autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aerodrome stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aerodrome Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aerodrome Stock

Aerodrome financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aerodrome Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aerodrome with respect to the benefits of owning Aerodrome security.