Archer (Norway) Market Value

ARCH Stock  NOK 22.99  0.01  0.04%   
Archer's market value is the price at which a share of Archer trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Archer Limited investors about its performance. Archer is selling for 22.99 as of the 22nd of December 2024. This is a 0.04 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 22.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Archer Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Archer over a given investment horizon. Check out Archer Correlation, Archer Volatility and Archer Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Archer.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Archer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Archer is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Archer 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Archer's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Archer.
0.00
01/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Archer on January 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Archer Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Archer over 720 days. Archer is related to or competes with Borr Drilling, Odfjell Drilling, Shelf Drilling, Northern Ocean, Deep Value, Odfjell Technology, and Dolphin Drilling. Archer Limited, an oilfield service company, provides various oilfield products and services to the oil and gas industry More

Archer Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Archer's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Archer Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Archer Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Archer's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Archer's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Archer historical prices to predict the future Archer's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0122.9924.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.0622.0424.02
Details

Archer Limited Backtested Returns

Archer Limited secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0071, which signifies that the company had a -0.0071% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Archer Limited exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Archer's risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Mean Deviation of 1.43 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.065, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Archer's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Archer is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Archer Limited has a negative expected return of -0.0141%. Please make sure to confirm Archer's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if Archer Limited performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.34  

Poor reverse predictability

Archer Limited has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Archer time series from 2nd of January 2023 to 28th of December 2023 and 28th of December 2023 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Archer Limited price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Archer price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.34
Spearman Rank Test0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8.07

Archer Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Archer stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Archer's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Archer returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Archer has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Archer regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Archer stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Archer stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Archer stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Archer Lagged Returns

When evaluating Archer's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Archer stock have on its future price. Archer autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Archer autocorrelation shows the relationship between Archer stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Archer Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Archer Stock

Archer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Archer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Archer with respect to the benefits of owning Archer security.