Bank Mnc (Indonesia) Market Value

BABP Stock  IDR 57.00  1.00  1.72%   
Bank Mnc's market value is the price at which a share of Bank Mnc trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bank Mnc Internasional investors about its performance. Bank Mnc is selling for 57.00 as of the 12th of December 2024. This is a 1.72 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 57.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bank Mnc Internasional and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bank Mnc over a given investment horizon. Check out Bank Mnc Correlation, Bank Mnc Volatility and Bank Mnc Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bank Mnc.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank Mnc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank Mnc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank Mnc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bank Mnc 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bank Mnc's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bank Mnc.
0.00
12/23/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bank Mnc on December 23, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bank Mnc Internasional or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bank Mnc over 720 days. Bank Mnc is related to or competes with Bank Capital, Bank Pembangunan, Bank Victoria, Bank Qnb, and Bank Bumi. PT Bank MNC Internasional Tbk provides various banking products and services in Indonesia More

Bank Mnc Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bank Mnc's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bank Mnc Internasional upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bank Mnc Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bank Mnc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bank Mnc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bank Mnc historical prices to predict the future Bank Mnc's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.1557.0059.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.0251.8762.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
56.9159.7662.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
56.6058.9361.25
Details

Bank Mnc Internasional Backtested Returns

Bank Mnc Internasional secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which signifies that the company had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Bank Mnc Internasional exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bank Mnc's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), mean deviation of 2.35, and Standard Deviation of 3.21 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Bank Mnc's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Bank Mnc is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Bank Mnc Internasional has a negative expected return of -0.44%. Please make sure to confirm Bank Mnc's treynor ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if Bank Mnc Internasional performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Bank Mnc Internasional has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bank Mnc time series from 23rd of December 2022 to 18th of December 2023 and 18th of December 2023 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bank Mnc Internasional price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Bank Mnc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test-0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance79.57

Bank Mnc Internasional lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bank Mnc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bank Mnc's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bank Mnc returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bank Mnc has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bank Mnc regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bank Mnc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bank Mnc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bank Mnc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bank Mnc Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bank Mnc's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bank Mnc stock have on its future price. Bank Mnc autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bank Mnc autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bank Mnc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bank Mnc Internasional.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock

Bank Mnc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank Mnc security.