Black Swan Graphene Stock Market Value

BSWGF Stock  USD 0.06  0.01  8.23%   
Black Swan's market value is the price at which a share of Black Swan trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Black Swan Graphene investors about its performance. Black Swan is trading at 0.0569 as of the 19th of December 2024. This is a 8.23% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.052.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Black Swan Graphene and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Black Swan over a given investment horizon. Check out Black Swan Correlation, Black Swan Volatility and Black Swan Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Black Swan.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Black Swan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Black Swan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Black Swan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Black Swan 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Black Swan's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Black Swan.
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11/19/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/19/2024
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If you would invest  0.00  in Black Swan on November 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Black Swan Graphene or generate 0.0% return on investment in Black Swan over 30 days. Black Swan is related to or competes with Braskem SA, Lsb Industries, Dow, and Huntsman. Black Swan Graphene Inc. engages in the production and commercialization of patented graphene products for concrete, pol... More

Black Swan Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Black Swan's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Black Swan Graphene upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Black Swan Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Black Swan's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Black Swan's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Black Swan historical prices to predict the future Black Swan's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
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0.000.065.77
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Intrinsic
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LowRealHigh
0.000.055.76
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Black Swan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Black Swan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Black Swan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Black Swan Graphene.

Black Swan Graphene Backtested Returns

Black Swan Graphene secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0295, which signifies that the company had a -0.0295% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Black Swan Graphene exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Black Swan's mean deviation of 4.16, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Black Swan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Black Swan is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Black Swan Graphene has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to confirm Black Swan's standard deviation, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Black Swan Graphene performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.28  

Poor predictability

Black Swan Graphene has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Black Swan time series from 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024 and 4th of December 2024 to 19th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Black Swan Graphene price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Black Swan price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.28
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Black Swan Graphene lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Black Swan otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Black Swan's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Black Swan returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Black Swan has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Black Swan regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Black Swan otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Black Swan otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Black Swan otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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Black Swan Lagged Returns

When evaluating Black Swan's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Black Swan otc stock have on its future price. Black Swan autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Black Swan autocorrelation shows the relationship between Black Swan otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Black Swan Graphene.
   Regressed Prices   
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Other Information on Investing in Black OTC Stock

Black Swan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Black OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Black with respect to the benefits of owning Black Swan security.