Bowlin Travel Centers Stock Market Value
| BWTL Stock | USD 4.00 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | Bowlin |
Bowlin Travel 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bowlin Travel's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bowlin Travel.
| 12/24/2022 |
| 12/13/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Bowlin Travel on December 24, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bowlin Travel Centers or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bowlin Travel over 720 days. Bowlin Travel is related to or competes with Arhaus, Floor Decor, Live Ventures, ATT, Verizon Communications, HP, and GE Aerospace. Bowlin Travel Centers, Inc. engages in the operation of travel centers and restaurants located along interstate highways... More
Bowlin Travel Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bowlin Travel's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bowlin Travel Centers upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.1) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.45 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.01 |
Bowlin Travel Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bowlin Travel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bowlin Travel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bowlin Travel historical prices to predict the future Bowlin Travel's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.35) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.24) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bowlin Travel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bowlin Travel Centers Backtested Returns
As of now, Bowlin Pink Sheet is slightly risky. Bowlin Travel Centers secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0087, which signifies that the company had a 0.0087% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found eighteen technical indicators for Bowlin Travel Centers, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Bowlin Travel's Mean Deviation of 0.6012, standard deviation of 1.91, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0158%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.35, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Bowlin Travel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Bowlin Travel is expected to be smaller as well. Bowlin Travel Centers right now shows a risk of 1.81%. Please confirm Bowlin Travel Centers maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Bowlin Travel Centers will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.27 |
Poor predictability
Bowlin Travel Centers has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bowlin Travel time series from 24th of December 2022 to 19th of December 2023 and 19th of December 2023 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bowlin Travel Centers price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current Bowlin Travel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.27 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.4 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.05 |
Bowlin Travel Centers lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Bowlin Travel pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bowlin Travel's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bowlin Travel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bowlin Travel has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Bowlin Travel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bowlin Travel pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bowlin Travel pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bowlin Travel pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Bowlin Travel Lagged Returns
When evaluating Bowlin Travel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bowlin Travel pink sheet have on its future price. Bowlin Travel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bowlin Travel autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bowlin Travel pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bowlin Travel Centers.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Bowlin Travel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bowlin Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bowlin with respect to the benefits of owning Bowlin Travel security.