Chaoda Modern (Germany) Market Value

CHA Stock  EUR 0.02  0.00  0.00%   
Chaoda Modern's market value is the price at which a share of Chaoda Modern trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chaoda Modern Agriculture investors about its performance. Chaoda Modern is trading at 0.02 as of the 26th of December 2024. This is a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.02.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chaoda Modern Agriculture and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chaoda Modern over a given investment horizon. Check out Chaoda Modern Correlation, Chaoda Modern Volatility and Chaoda Modern Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chaoda Modern.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Chaoda Modern's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chaoda Modern is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chaoda Modern's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chaoda Modern 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chaoda Modern's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chaoda Modern.
0.00
11/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chaoda Modern on November 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chaoda Modern Agriculture or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chaoda Modern over 30 days. Chaoda Modern is related to or competes with Archer Daniels, Tyson Foods, MOWI ASA, Mowi ASA, PT Charoen, and Charoen Pokphand. Chaoda Modern Agriculture Limited, an investment holding company, engages in growing and selling agricultural products i... More

Chaoda Modern Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chaoda Modern's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chaoda Modern Agriculture upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chaoda Modern Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chaoda Modern's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chaoda Modern's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chaoda Modern historical prices to predict the future Chaoda Modern's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0221.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0221.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.0221.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.020.02
Details

Chaoda Modern Agriculture Backtested Returns

Chaoda Modern is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Chaoda Modern Agriculture secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0563, which signifies that the company had a 0.0563% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.19% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Chaoda Modern mean deviation of 7.0, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0386 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Chaoda Modern holds a performance score of 4 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -2.1, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Chaoda Modern are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Chaoda Modern is expected to outperform it. Use Chaoda Modern market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, variance, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to analyze future returns on Chaoda Modern.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Chaoda Modern Agriculture has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chaoda Modern time series from 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024 and 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chaoda Modern Agriculture price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Chaoda Modern price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.93
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Chaoda Modern Agriculture lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chaoda Modern stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chaoda Modern's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chaoda Modern returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chaoda Modern has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Chaoda Modern regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chaoda Modern stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chaoda Modern stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chaoda Modern stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Chaoda Modern Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chaoda Modern's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chaoda Modern stock have on its future price. Chaoda Modern autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chaoda Modern autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chaoda Modern stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chaoda Modern Agriculture.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Chaoda Stock

Chaoda Modern financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chaoda Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chaoda with respect to the benefits of owning Chaoda Modern security.