Chaoda Modern (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.02
| CHA Stock | EUR 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
Chaoda |
Chaoda Modern Target Price Odds to finish over 0.02
The tendency of Chaoda Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 62.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chaoda Modern to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 62.78 (This Chaoda Modern Agriculture probability density function shows the probability of Chaoda Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Chaoda Modern Agriculture has a beta of -2.1 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Chaoda Modern Agriculture are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Chaoda Modern is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Chaoda Modern Agriculture has an alpha of 0.8204, implying that it can generate a 0.82 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Chaoda Modern Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chaoda Modern
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chaoda Modern Agriculture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chaoda Modern Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chaoda Modern is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chaoda Modern's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chaoda Modern Agriculture, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chaoda Modern within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Chaoda Modern Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chaoda Modern for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chaoda Modern Agriculture can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chaoda Modern is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Chaoda Modern has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Chaoda Modern appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Chaoda Modern has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 83.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.56 M. | |
| About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Chaoda Modern Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chaoda Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chaoda Modern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chaoda Modern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 B |
Chaoda Modern Technical Analysis
Chaoda Modern's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chaoda Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chaoda Modern Agriculture. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chaoda Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chaoda Modern Predictive Forecast Models
Chaoda Modern's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chaoda Modern's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chaoda Modern's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chaoda Modern Agriculture
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chaoda Modern for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chaoda Modern Agriculture help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chaoda Modern is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Chaoda Modern has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Chaoda Modern appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Chaoda Modern has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 83.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.56 M. | |
| About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Chaoda Stock
Chaoda Modern financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chaoda Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chaoda with respect to the benefits of owning Chaoda Modern security.