Invesco Servative Allocation Fund Market Value

CMARX Fund  USD 10.64  0.03  0.28%   
Invesco Servative's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco Servative trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco Servative Allocation investors about its performance. Invesco Servative is trading at 10.64 as of the 26th of December 2024; that is 0.28% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.61.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco Servative Allocation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco Servative over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco Servative Correlation, Invesco Servative Volatility and Invesco Servative Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco Servative.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Servative's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Servative is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Servative's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco Servative 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Servative's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Servative.
0.00
12/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year and 25 days
12/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco Servative on December 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Servative Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Servative over 390 days. Invesco Servative is related to or competes with Locorr Dynamic, Ab Select, Ms Global, Balanced Fund, and Scharf Fund. The fund is a fund of funds, and invests its assets in other underlying mutual funds advised by the Adviser and ETFs and... More

Invesco Servative Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Servative's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Servative Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco Servative Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Servative's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Servative's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Servative historical prices to predict the future Invesco Servative's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2410.6411.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2710.6711.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.0610.4610.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.4810.8112.15
Details

Invesco Servative Backtested Returns

Invesco Servative holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0764, which attests that the entity had a -0.0764% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Invesco Servative exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Invesco Servative's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Standard Deviation of 0.3934 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.34, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Invesco Servative's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invesco Servative is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.80  

Very good predictability

Invesco Servative Allocation has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Servative time series from 2nd of December 2023 to 14th of June 2024 and 14th of June 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Servative price movement. The serial correlation of 0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current Invesco Servative price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.8
Spearman Rank Test0.69
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Invesco Servative lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Servative mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Servative's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Servative returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Servative has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco Servative regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Servative mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Servative mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Servative mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco Servative Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco Servative's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Servative mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco Servative autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Servative autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Servative mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Servative Allocation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Servative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Servative security.
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