Dream Finders Homes Stock Market Value

DFH Stock  USD 23.19  0.89  3.70%   
Dream Finders' market value is the price at which a share of Dream Finders trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dream Finders Homes investors about its performance. Dream Finders is trading at 23.19 as of the 27th of December 2024. This is a 3.7 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 24.08.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dream Finders Homes and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dream Finders over a given investment horizon. Check out Dream Finders Correlation, Dream Finders Volatility and Dream Finders Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dream Finders.
Symbol

Dream Finders Homes Price To Book Ratio

Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dream Finders. If investors know Dream will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dream Finders listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.06)
Earnings Share
3.02
Revenue Per Share
43.169
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.124
Return On Assets
0.0907
The market value of Dream Finders Homes is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dream that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dream Finders' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dream Finders' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dream Finders' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dream Finders' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dream Finders' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dream Finders is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dream Finders' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dream Finders 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dream Finders' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dream Finders.
0.00
01/12/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 years 11 months and 16 days
12/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dream Finders on January 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dream Finders Homes or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dream Finders over 1080 days. Dream Finders is related to or competes with TRI Pointe, Meritage, Taylor Morn, and Hovnanian Enterprises. Dream Finders Homes, Inc. operates as a holding company for Dream Finders Holdings LLC that engages in homebuilding busi... More

Dream Finders Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dream Finders' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dream Finders Homes upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dream Finders Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dream Finders' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dream Finders' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dream Finders historical prices to predict the future Dream Finders' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.0423.1026.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.9522.0125.07
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.5721.5023.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.780.810.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dream Finders. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dream Finders' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dream Finders' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dream Finders Homes.

Dream Finders Homes Backtested Returns

Dream Finders Homes secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.22, which denotes the company had a -0.22% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Dream Finders Homes exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Dream Finders' Mean Deviation of 2.33, coefficient of variation of (553.46), and Standard Deviation of 3.11 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.37, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Dream Finders will likely underperform. At this point, Dream Finders Homes has a negative expected return of -0.66%. Please make sure to confirm Dream Finders' potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and accumulation distribution , to decide if Dream Finders Homes performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.61  

Good predictability

Dream Finders Homes has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dream Finders time series from 12th of January 2022 to 6th of July 2023 and 6th of July 2023 to 27th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dream Finders Homes price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Dream Finders price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.61
Spearman Rank Test0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance21.73

Dream Finders Homes lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dream Finders stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dream Finders' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dream Finders returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dream Finders has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dream Finders regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dream Finders stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dream Finders stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dream Finders stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dream Finders Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dream Finders' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dream Finders stock have on its future price. Dream Finders autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dream Finders autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dream Finders stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dream Finders Homes.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Dream Finders Homes offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Dream Finders' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Dream Finders Homes Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Dream Finders Homes Stock:
Check out Dream Finders Correlation, Dream Finders Volatility and Dream Finders Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dream Finders.
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Dream Finders technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Dream Finders technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Dream Finders trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...