Davis International Fund Market Value

DILAX Fund  USD 13.04  0.33  2.47%   
Davis International's market value is the price at which a share of Davis International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Davis International Fund investors about its performance. Davis International is trading at 13.04 as of the 19th of December 2024; that is 2.47% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.37.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Davis International Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Davis International over a given investment horizon. Check out Davis International Correlation, Davis International Volatility and Davis International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Davis International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Davis International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Davis International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Davis International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Davis International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Davis International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Davis International.
0.00
12/25/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
12/19/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Davis International on December 25, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Davis International Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Davis International over 360 days. Davis International is related to or competes with Davis Financial, Davis Real, Davis Opportunity, Davis Government, and Davis Real. The fund will invest significantly in issuers organized or located outside of the U.S More

Davis International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Davis International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Davis International Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Davis International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Davis International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Davis International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Davis International historical prices to predict the future Davis International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6013.3715.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8213.5915.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Davis International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Davis International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Davis International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Davis International.

Davis International Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Davis Mutual Fund to be not too volatile. Davis International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0335, which denotes the fund had a 0.0335% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Davis International Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Davis International's Coefficient Of Variation of 1860.53, mean deviation of 1.24, and Downside Deviation of 1.93 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0607%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.41, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Davis International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Davis International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.78  

Good predictability

Davis International Fund has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Davis International time series from 25th of December 2023 to 22nd of June 2024 and 22nd of June 2024 to 19th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Davis International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Davis International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.78
Spearman Rank Test0.74
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.21

Davis International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Davis International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Davis International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Davis International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Davis International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Davis International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Davis International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Davis International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Davis International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Davis International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Davis International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Davis International mutual fund have on its future price. Davis International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Davis International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Davis International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Davis International Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Davis Mutual Fund

Davis International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Davis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Davis with respect to the benefits of owning Davis International security.
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