Dycasa SA (Argentina) Market Value

DYCA Stock  ARS 1,050  25.00  2.33%   
Dycasa SA's market value is the price at which a share of Dycasa SA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dycasa SA investors about its performance. Dycasa SA is trading at 1050.00 as of the 15th of December 2024, a 2.33% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1075.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dycasa SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dycasa SA over a given investment horizon. Check out Dycasa SA Correlation, Dycasa SA Volatility and Dycasa SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dycasa SA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dycasa SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dycasa SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dycasa SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dycasa SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dycasa SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dycasa SA.
0.00
11/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dycasa SA on November 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dycasa SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dycasa SA over 30 days. Dycasa SA is related to or competes with Polledo SA, American Express, United States, Pfizer, Distribuidora, and IRSA Propiedades. DYCASA Sociedad Annima engages in public and private sector construction activities in Argentina and internationally More

Dycasa SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dycasa SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dycasa SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dycasa SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dycasa SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dycasa SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dycasa SA historical prices to predict the future Dycasa SA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0441,0501,056
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
882.16888.611,155
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0281,0351,041
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
996.001,0781,160
Details

Dycasa SA Backtested Returns

Dycasa SA is very steady given 3 months investment horizon. Dycasa SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.19, which denotes the company had a 0.19% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.2% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Dycasa SA Downside Deviation of 3.68, mean deviation of 4.64, and Semi Deviation of 3.01 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Dycasa SA holds a performance score of 14 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0345, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Dycasa SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dycasa SA is expected to be smaller as well. Use Dycasa SA downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to analyze future returns on Dycasa SA.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.48  

Average predictability

Dycasa SA has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dycasa SA time series from 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024 and 30th of November 2024 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dycasa SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Dycasa SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.48
Spearman Rank Test-0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3102.07

Dycasa SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dycasa SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dycasa SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dycasa SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dycasa SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dycasa SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dycasa SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dycasa SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dycasa SA stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dycasa SA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dycasa SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dycasa SA stock have on its future price. Dycasa SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dycasa SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dycasa SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dycasa SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Dycasa Stock

Dycasa SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dycasa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dycasa with respect to the benefits of owning Dycasa SA security.