Ellington Financial Stock Market Value

EFC-PD Stock   23.95  0.89  3.86%   
Ellington Financial's market value is the price at which a share of Ellington Financial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ellington Financial investors about its performance. Ellington Financial is trading at 23.95 as of the 3rd of December 2024, a 3.86% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 22.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ellington Financial and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ellington Financial over a given investment horizon. Check out Ellington Financial Correlation, Ellington Financial Volatility and Ellington Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ellington Financial.
For information on how to trade Ellington Stock refer to our How to Trade Ellington Stock guide.
Symbol

Ellington Financial Price To Book Ratio

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ellington Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ellington Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ellington Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ellington Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ellington Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ellington Financial.
0.00
12/14/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ellington Financial on December 14, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ellington Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ellington Financial over 720 days. Ellington Financial is related to or competes with Weyco, AerSale Corp, Porvair Plc, Ryanair Holdings, Postal Realty, and Hudson Pacific. Ellington Financial is entity of United States More

Ellington Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ellington Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ellington Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ellington Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ellington Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ellington Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ellington Financial historical prices to predict the future Ellington Financial's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.7024.0125.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.7425.0526.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.6223.9325.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.6022.9523.29
Details

Ellington Financial Backtested Returns

At this point, Ellington Financial is very steady. Ellington Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0932, which denotes the company had a 0.0932% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Ellington Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Ellington Financial's Downside Deviation of 1.74, coefficient of variation of 706.72, and Mean Deviation of 0.8718 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. Ellington Financial has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0293, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ellington Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ellington Financial is likely to outperform the market. Ellington Financial right now shows a risk of 1.31%. Please confirm Ellington Financial standard deviation, treynor ratio, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and value at risk , to decide if Ellington Financial will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Ellington Financial has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ellington Financial time series from 14th of December 2022 to 9th of December 2023 and 9th of December 2023 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ellington Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Ellington Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.74
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.28

Ellington Financial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ellington Financial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ellington Financial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ellington Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ellington Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ellington Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ellington Financial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ellington Financial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ellington Financial stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ellington Financial Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ellington Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ellington Financial stock have on its future price. Ellington Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ellington Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ellington Financial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ellington Financial.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Ellington Financial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ellington Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ellington Financial Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ellington Financial Stock:
Check out Ellington Financial Correlation, Ellington Financial Volatility and Ellington Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ellington Financial.
For information on how to trade Ellington Stock refer to our How to Trade Ellington Stock guide.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Ellington Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Ellington Financial technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Ellington Financial trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...