Grupo Elektra (Mexico) Market Value

ELEKTRA Stock  MXN 336.71  3.30  0.97%   
Grupo Elektra's market value is the price at which a share of Grupo Elektra trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Grupo Elektra SAB investors about its performance. Grupo Elektra is trading at 336.71 as of the 26th of December 2024, a 0.97 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 340.01.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Grupo Elektra SAB and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Grupo Elektra over a given investment horizon. Check out Grupo Elektra Correlation, Grupo Elektra Volatility and Grupo Elektra Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Grupo Elektra.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Elektra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grupo Elektra is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Elektra's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Grupo Elektra 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Grupo Elektra's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Grupo Elektra.
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10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/26/2024
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If you would invest  0.00  in Grupo Elektra on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Grupo Elektra SAB or generate 0.0% return on investment in Grupo Elektra over 60 days. Grupo Elektra is related to or competes with Samsung Electronics, Taiwan Semiconductor, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, HSBC Holdings, and Citigroup. Grupo Elektra, S.A.B. de C.V. operates as a financial services and specialty retailing company in Latin America, as well... More

Grupo Elektra Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Grupo Elektra's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Grupo Elektra SAB upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Grupo Elektra Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Grupo Elektra's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Grupo Elektra's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Grupo Elektra historical prices to predict the future Grupo Elektra's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grupo Elektra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
329.70340.01350.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
299.10309.41374.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
548.83559.14569.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-1,847370.302,587
Details

Grupo Elektra SAB Backtested Returns

Grupo Elektra SAB holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0714, which attests that the entity had a -0.0714% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Grupo Elektra SAB exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Grupo Elektra's Standard Deviation of 9.91, market risk adjusted performance of (0.74), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.92, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Grupo Elektra returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Grupo Elektra is expected to follow. At this point, Grupo Elektra SAB has a negative expected return of -0.74%. Please make sure to check out Grupo Elektra's maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and market facilitation index , to decide if Grupo Elektra SAB performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Grupo Elektra SAB has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Grupo Elektra time series from 27th of October 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 26th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Grupo Elektra SAB price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Grupo Elektra price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test-0.14
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance58.7 K

Grupo Elektra SAB lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Grupo Elektra stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Grupo Elektra's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Grupo Elektra returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Grupo Elektra has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Grupo Elektra regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Grupo Elektra stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Grupo Elektra stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Grupo Elektra stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Grupo Elektra Lagged Returns

When evaluating Grupo Elektra's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Grupo Elektra stock have on its future price. Grupo Elektra autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Grupo Elektra autocorrelation shows the relationship between Grupo Elektra stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Grupo Elektra SAB.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Grupo Stock

Grupo Elektra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grupo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grupo with respect to the benefits of owning Grupo Elektra security.