Eutelsat Communications (France) Market Value

ETL Stock  EUR 2.93  0.02  0.69%   
Eutelsat Communications' market value is the price at which a share of Eutelsat Communications trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Eutelsat Communications SA investors about its performance. Eutelsat Communications is trading at 2.93 as of the 3rd of December 2024, a 0.69% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 2.91.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Eutelsat Communications SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Eutelsat Communications over a given investment horizon. Check out Eutelsat Communications Correlation, Eutelsat Communications Volatility and Eutelsat Communications Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Eutelsat Communications.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Eutelsat Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eutelsat Communications is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eutelsat Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Eutelsat Communications 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Eutelsat Communications' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Eutelsat Communications.
0.00
12/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Eutelsat Communications on December 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Eutelsat Communications SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Eutelsat Communications over 360 days. Eutelsat Communications is related to or competes with SES S, Rubis SCA, Coface SA, SCOR SE, and Nexity. Eutelsat Communications S.A. provides satellite related services More

Eutelsat Communications Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Eutelsat Communications' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Eutelsat Communications SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Eutelsat Communications Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Eutelsat Communications' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Eutelsat Communications' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Eutelsat Communications historical prices to predict the future Eutelsat Communications' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.782.935.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.572.724.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.412.564.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.093.423.75
Details

Eutelsat Communications Backtested Returns

Eutelsat Communications secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.26, which denotes the company had a -0.26% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Eutelsat Communications SA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Eutelsat Communications' Mean Deviation of 1.7, standard deviation of 2.18, and Variance of 4.74 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.43, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Eutelsat Communications are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Eutelsat Communications is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Eutelsat Communications has a negative expected return of -0.57%. Please make sure to confirm Eutelsat Communications' accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Eutelsat Communications performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.55  

Good reverse predictability

Eutelsat Communications SA has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Eutelsat Communications time series from 9th of December 2023 to 6th of June 2024 and 6th of June 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Eutelsat Communications price movement. The serial correlation of -0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Eutelsat Communications price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.55
Spearman Rank Test-0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.12

Eutelsat Communications lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Eutelsat Communications stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Eutelsat Communications' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Eutelsat Communications returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Eutelsat Communications has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Eutelsat Communications regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Eutelsat Communications stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Eutelsat Communications stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Eutelsat Communications stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Eutelsat Communications Lagged Returns

When evaluating Eutelsat Communications' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Eutelsat Communications stock have on its future price. Eutelsat Communications autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Eutelsat Communications autocorrelation shows the relationship between Eutelsat Communications stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Eutelsat Communications SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Eutelsat Stock

Eutelsat Communications financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eutelsat Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eutelsat with respect to the benefits of owning Eutelsat Communications security.