Exor NV (Austria) Market Value
| EXO Stock | EUR 93.30 0.45 0.48% |
| Symbol | Exor |
Exor NV 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Exor NV's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Exor NV.
| 12/15/2022 |
| 12/04/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Exor NV on December 15, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Exor NV or generate 0.0% return on investment in Exor NV over 720 days. Exor NV is related to or competes with AMAG Austria, Wiener Privatbank, SBM Offshore, BKS Bank, Erste Group, Vienna Insurance, and Oberbank. Exor N.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in the reinsurance, automotive, agricultural equipment, construction equipm... More
Exor NV Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Exor NV's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Exor NV upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.72 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.72) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.49 |
Exor NV Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Exor NV's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Exor NV's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Exor NV historical prices to predict the future Exor NV's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.27) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.41) |
Exor NV Backtested Returns
Exor NV secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0583, which denotes the company had a -0.0583% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Exor NV exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Exor NV's Mean Deviation of 0.9057, variance of 1.54, and Standard Deviation of 1.24 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.25, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Exor NV's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Exor NV is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Exor NV has a negative expected return of -0.0726%. Please make sure to confirm Exor NV's accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if Exor NV performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.10 |
Insignificant predictability
Exor NV has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Exor NV time series from 15th of December 2022 to 10th of December 2023 and 10th of December 2023 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Exor NV price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Exor NV price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.1 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.04 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 19.23 |
Exor NV lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Exor NV stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Exor NV's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Exor NV returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Exor NV has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Exor NV regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Exor NV stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Exor NV stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Exor NV stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Exor NV Lagged Returns
When evaluating Exor NV's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Exor NV stock have on its future price. Exor NV autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Exor NV autocorrelation shows the relationship between Exor NV stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Exor NV.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Exor Stock
Exor NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether Exor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Exor with respect to the benefits of owning Exor NV security.