Federal Home Loan Stock Market Value

FMCCM Stock  USD 15.90  0.18  1.15%   
Federal Home's market value is the price at which a share of Federal Home trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Federal Home Loan investors about its performance. Federal Home is selling at 15.90 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 1.15% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 15.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Federal Home Loan and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Federal Home over a given investment horizon. Check out Federal Home Correlation, Federal Home Volatility and Federal Home Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Federal Home.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Federal Home's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federal Home is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federal Home's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Federal Home 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federal Home's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federal Home.
0.00
06/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Federal Home on June 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federal Home Loan or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federal Home over 180 days. Federal Home is related to or competes with Federal Home, Federal Home, Federal National, Federal Home, Federal Home, Federal Home, and Federal Home. Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation operates in the secondary mortgage market in the United States More

Federal Home Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federal Home's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federal Home Loan upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Federal Home Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federal Home's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federal Home's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federal Home historical prices to predict the future Federal Home's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federal Home's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.8515.9026.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.5315.5826.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.4514.5025.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.5712.6319.69
Details

Federal Home Loan Backtested Returns

Federal Home is moderately volatile given 3 months investment horizon. Federal Home Loan secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.19, which denotes the company had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to break down twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 2.1% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Federal Home Downside Deviation of 5.15, mean deviation of 4.34, and Coefficient Of Variation of 538.09 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Federal Home holds a performance score of 14 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 7.97, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Federal Home will likely underperform. Use Federal Home potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to analyze future returns on Federal Home.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.75  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Federal Home Loan has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federal Home time series from 5th of June 2024 to 3rd of September 2024 and 3rd of September 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federal Home Loan price movement. The serial correlation of -0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Federal Home price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.75
Spearman Rank Test-0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance13.02

Federal Home Loan lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Federal Home otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Federal Home's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Federal Home returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Federal Home has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Federal Home regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Federal Home otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Federal Home otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Federal Home otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Federal Home Lagged Returns

When evaluating Federal Home's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Federal Home otc stock have on its future price. Federal Home autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Federal Home autocorrelation shows the relationship between Federal Home otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Federal Home Loan.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Federal OTC Stock

Federal Home financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federal OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federal with respect to the benefits of owning Federal Home security.