Franklin Moderate Allocation Fund Market Value

FTMRX Fund  USD 15.89  0.11  0.70%   
Franklin Moderate's market value is the price at which a share of Franklin Moderate trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Franklin Moderate Allocation investors about its performance. Franklin Moderate is trading at 15.89 as of the 22nd of December 2024; that is 0.70% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 15.78.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Franklin Moderate Allocation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Franklin Moderate over a given investment horizon. Check out Franklin Moderate Correlation, Franklin Moderate Volatility and Franklin Moderate Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Franklin Moderate.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Moderate's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Moderate is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Moderate's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Franklin Moderate 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Franklin Moderate's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Franklin Moderate.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Franklin Moderate on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Franklin Moderate Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Franklin Moderate over 30 days. Franklin Moderate is related to or competes with Franklin Mutual, Templeton Developing, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Templeton Foreign, and Templeton Foreign. The fund is a fund of funds meaning that it seeks to achieve its investment goal by investing its assets primarily in ot... More

Franklin Moderate Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Franklin Moderate's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Franklin Moderate Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Franklin Moderate Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Franklin Moderate's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Franklin Moderate's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Franklin Moderate historical prices to predict the future Franklin Moderate's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.4215.8916.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.4615.9316.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.1315.5916.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.8116.1516.50
Details

Franklin Moderate Backtested Returns

Franklin Moderate secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0143, which denotes the fund had a -0.0143% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Franklin Moderate Allocation exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Franklin Moderate's Coefficient Of Variation of (6,186), standard deviation of 0.4636, and Mean Deviation of 0.3423 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.44, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Franklin Moderate's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Franklin Moderate is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.88  

Excellent reverse predictability

Franklin Moderate Allocation has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Franklin Moderate time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Franklin Moderate price movement. The serial correlation of -0.88 indicates that approximately 88.0% of current Franklin Moderate price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.88
Spearman Rank Test-0.82
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Franklin Moderate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Franklin Moderate mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Franklin Moderate's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Franklin Moderate returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Franklin Moderate has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Franklin Moderate regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Franklin Moderate mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Franklin Moderate mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Franklin Moderate mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Franklin Moderate Lagged Returns

When evaluating Franklin Moderate's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Franklin Moderate mutual fund have on its future price. Franklin Moderate autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Franklin Moderate autocorrelation shows the relationship between Franklin Moderate mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Franklin Moderate Allocation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin Moderate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Moderate security.
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