Fvcbankcorp Stock Market Value

FVCB Stock  USD 13.80  0.19  1.36%   
FVCBankcorp's market value is the price at which a share of FVCBankcorp trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of FVCBankcorp investors about its performance. FVCBankcorp is trading at 13.80 as of the 4th of December 2024, a 1.36 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 13.99.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of FVCBankcorp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in FVCBankcorp over a given investment horizon. Check out FVCBankcorp Correlation, FVCBankcorp Volatility and FVCBankcorp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on FVCBankcorp.
For information on how to trade FVCBankcorp Stock refer to our How to Trade FVCBankcorp Stock guide.
Symbol

FVCBankcorp Price To Book Ratio

Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FVCBankcorp. If investors know FVCBankcorp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FVCBankcorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.136
Earnings Share
0.27
Revenue Per Share
2.537
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.066
Return On Assets
0.0022
The market value of FVCBankcorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FVCBankcorp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FVCBankcorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FVCBankcorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FVCBankcorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FVCBankcorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FVCBankcorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FVCBankcorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FVCBankcorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

FVCBankcorp 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to FVCBankcorp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of FVCBankcorp.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in FVCBankcorp on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FVCBankcorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in FVCBankcorp over 30 days. FVCBankcorp is related to or competes with Home Federal, First Financial, First Northwest, First Capital, Lake Shore, Oak Valley, and First Community. FVCBankcorp, Inc. operates as the holding company for FVCbank that provides various banking products and services in Vir... More

FVCBankcorp Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure FVCBankcorp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FVCBankcorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

FVCBankcorp Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for FVCBankcorp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as FVCBankcorp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use FVCBankcorp historical prices to predict the future FVCBankcorp's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FVCBankcorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2213.7316.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6513.1615.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.7314.2316.74
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.8313.0014.43
Details

FVCBankcorp Backtested Returns

FVCBankcorp appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. FVCBankcorp retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which denotes the company had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for FVCBankcorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize FVCBankcorp's Coefficient Of Variation of 1274.52, downside deviation of 2.47, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1196 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, FVCBankcorp holds a performance score of 10. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.77, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, FVCBankcorp will likely underperform. Please check FVCBankcorp's treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether FVCBankcorp's current price history will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.60  

Good predictability

FVCBankcorp has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between FVCBankcorp time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FVCBankcorp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current FVCBankcorp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.6
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

FVCBankcorp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is FVCBankcorp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting FVCBankcorp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of FVCBankcorp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that FVCBankcorp has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

FVCBankcorp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If FVCBankcorp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if FVCBankcorp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in FVCBankcorp stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

FVCBankcorp Lagged Returns

When evaluating FVCBankcorp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of FVCBankcorp stock have on its future price. FVCBankcorp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, FVCBankcorp autocorrelation shows the relationship between FVCBankcorp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in FVCBankcorp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether FVCBankcorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of FVCBankcorp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fvcbankcorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fvcbankcorp Stock:
Check out FVCBankcorp Correlation, FVCBankcorp Volatility and FVCBankcorp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on FVCBankcorp.
For information on how to trade FVCBankcorp Stock refer to our How to Trade FVCBankcorp Stock guide.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
FVCBankcorp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of FVCBankcorp technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of FVCBankcorp trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...