Fs Bancorp Stock Market Value

FXLG Stock  USD 31.75  0.70  2.25%   
FS Bancorp's market value is the price at which a share of FS Bancorp trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of FS Bancorp investors about its performance. FS Bancorp is trading at 31.75 as of the 5th of December 2024. This is a 2.25% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 31.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of FS Bancorp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in FS Bancorp over a given investment horizon. Check out FS Bancorp Correlation, FS Bancorp Volatility and FS Bancorp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on FS Bancorp.
For more detail on how to invest in FXLG Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in FS Bancorp guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between FS Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FS Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FS Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

FS Bancorp 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to FS Bancorp's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of FS Bancorp.
0.00
12/16/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/05/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in FS Bancorp on December 16, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FS Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in FS Bancorp over 720 days. FS Bancorp is related to or competes with Eastern Michigan, Grand River, Bank of Botetourt, AmeriServ Financial, Farmers Merchants, FNB, and Century Financial. FS Bancorp operates as the holding company for Farmers State Bank that provides banking products and services to individ... More

FS Bancorp Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure FS Bancorp's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FS Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

FS Bancorp Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for FS Bancorp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as FS Bancorp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use FS Bancorp historical prices to predict the future FS Bancorp's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.2031.7532.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.7631.3131.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.9231.4732.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.1531.3831.60
Details

FS Bancorp Backtested Returns

At this point, FS Bancorp is very steady. FS Bancorp retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.21, which denotes the company had a 0.21% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for FS Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm FS Bancorp's Standard Deviation of 0.4909, downside deviation of 1.02, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.65) to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. FS Bancorp has a performance score of 16 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0569, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning FS Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, FS Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. FS Bancorp today owns a risk of 0.52%. Please confirm FS Bancorp value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to decide if FS Bancorp will be following its current price history.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.79  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

FS Bancorp has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between FS Bancorp time series from 16th of December 2022 to 11th of December 2023 and 11th of December 2023 to 5th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FS Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current FS Bancorp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.79
Spearman Rank Test-0.83
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.36

FS Bancorp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is FS Bancorp pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting FS Bancorp's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of FS Bancorp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that FS Bancorp has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

FS Bancorp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If FS Bancorp pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if FS Bancorp pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in FS Bancorp pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

FS Bancorp Lagged Returns

When evaluating FS Bancorp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of FS Bancorp pink sheet have on its future price. FS Bancorp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, FS Bancorp autocorrelation shows the relationship between FS Bancorp pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in FS Bancorp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in FXLG Pink Sheet

When determining whether FS Bancorp is a strong investment it is important to analyze FS Bancorp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FS Bancorp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FXLG Pink Sheet, refer to the following important reports:
Check out FS Bancorp Correlation, FS Bancorp Volatility and FS Bancorp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on FS Bancorp.
For more detail on how to invest in FXLG Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in FS Bancorp guide.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
FS Bancorp technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of FS Bancorp technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of FS Bancorp trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...