Guess Inc Stock Market Value
| GES Stock | USD 16.46 0.07 0.43% |
| Symbol | Guess |
Guess Inc Price To Book Ratio
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guess. If investors know Guess will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guess listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.295 | Earnings Share 1.37 | Revenue Per Share 54.252 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.102 | Return On Assets 0.0555 |
The market value of Guess Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guess that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guess' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guess' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guess' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guess' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guess' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guess is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guess' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Guess 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guess' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guess.
| 06/03/2024 |
| 11/30/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Guess on June 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guess Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guess over 180 days. Guess is related to or competes with Ross Stores, Childrens Place, Buckle, Burlington Stores, Urban Outfitters, American Eagle, and Shoe Carnival. , Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and ... More
Guess Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guess' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guess Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.88) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.44 |
Guess Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guess' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guess' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guess historical prices to predict the future Guess' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.45) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.64) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.19) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guess' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guess Inc Backtested Returns
Guess Inc holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.12, which attests that the entity had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Guess Inc exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Guess' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), market risk adjusted performance of (0.18), and Standard Deviation of 2.22 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.43, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Guess will likely underperform. At this point, Guess Inc has a negative expected return of -0.26%. Please make sure to check out Guess' treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Guess Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.08 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Guess Inc has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guess time series from 3rd of June 2024 to 1st of September 2024 and 1st of September 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guess Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Guess price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.08 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.03 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.39 |
Guess Inc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Guess stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guess' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guess returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guess has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Guess regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guess stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guess stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guess stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Guess Lagged Returns
When evaluating Guess' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guess stock have on its future price. Guess autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guess autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guess stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guess Inc.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for Guess Stock Analysis
When running Guess' price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.