Guess Valuation

GES Stock  USD 16.39  0.94  5.42%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Guess Inc retains a regular Real Value of $19.35 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $16.39. Our model calculates the value of Guess Inc from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.35, current valuation of 2.11 B, and Return On Asset of 0.0555 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Guess' valuation include:
Price Book
1.8885
Enterprise Value
2.1 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
7.1346
Price Sales
0.3109
Forward PE
6.7204
Undervalued
Today
16.39
Please note that Guess' price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Guess Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Guess' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Guess stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Guess Inc. Since Guess is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Guess Stock. However, Guess' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  16.39 Real  19.35 Target  27.3 Hype  16.48 Naive  16.96
The intrinsic value of Guess' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Guess' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
19.34
Real Value
21.60
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Guess Inc helps investors to forecast how Guess stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Guess more accurately as focusing exclusively on Guess' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.560.620.66
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.2316.4818.73
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
1.191.501.81
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
24.8427.3030.30
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Guess' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Guess' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Guess' closest peers.

Guess Cash

272.77 Million

Guess Valuation Trend

Guess' real value is important for investors to make better decisions and a more accurate overall view of Guess' financial worth over time. Using both Guess' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauge the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing conclusions.

Guess Revenue by Product

Guess Total Value Analysis

Guess Inc is currently forecasted to have company total value of 2.11 B with market capitalization of 891.15 M, debt of 1.16 B, and cash on hands of 275.76 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Guess fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.11 B
891.15 M
1.16 B
275.76 M

Guess Investor Information

About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Guess Inc last dividend was issued on the 11th of September 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 13th of March 2007. Based on the key indicators related to Guess' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Guess Inc is performing exceptionally good at the moment. It has a great risk to report excellent financial results in December.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.160.0948
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities177.1 M330.4 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable

Guess Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Guess has an asset utilization ratio of 107.2 percent. This implies that the Company is making $1.07 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Guess Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Guess Ownership Allocation

Guess Inc has a total of 51.42 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Guess Inc outstanding shares are owned by outside corporations. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to purchase positions in Guess to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, third-party entities are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Guess Inc. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Guess Inc as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that almost seven million two hundred ninety-six thousand eight hundred twenty-four invesors are currently shorting Guess expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Guess Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.78 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 195.83 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.15 B.

Guess Past Distributions to stockholders

About Guess Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Guess' current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Guess Inc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Guess. We calculate exposure to Guess's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Guess's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.2 B750.7 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.09  0.17 
Operating Profit Margin 0.09  0.16 
Net Profit Margin 0.07  0.10 
Gross Profit Margin 0.44  0.44 

Guess Quarterly Retained Earnings

1.26 Billion

Guess' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Guess' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Guess can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Guess represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Guess, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Guess Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Guess' Dividend Yield is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to gain to 0.59 in 2024, whereas Dividends Paid is likely to drop slightly above 56.7 M in 2024. . Price Earnings Ratio is likely to gain to 11.88 in 2024, whereas Retained Earnings are likely to drop slightly above 783.1 M in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid62.8 M56.7 M
Dividend Yield 0.05  0.05 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.32  0.59 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 2.41  2.75 
There are various types of dividends Guess can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Guess shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Guess Inc directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Guess pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Guess by the value of the dividends paid out.

Guess Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Guess does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding69.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.295
Forward Price Earnings6.7204

Guess Current Valuation Indicators

Guess' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Guess' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Guess, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Guess' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Guess' worth.

Additional Tools for Guess Stock Analysis

When running Guess' price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.