Guess Inc Stock Analysis

GES Stock  USD 16.39  0.94  5.42%   
Guess Inc is undervalued with Real Value of 19.35 and Target Price of 27.3. The main objective of Guess stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Guess Inc is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Guess' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Guess stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Guess is usually not traded on Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day. Guess Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Guess Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Guess Stock Analysis Notes

About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Guess Inc last dividend was issued on the 11th of September 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the . , Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. , Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California. Guess operates under Apparel Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 12500 people. To learn more about Guess Inc call Carlos Alberini at 213 765 3100 or check out https://www.guess.com.

Guess Quarterly Total Revenue

732.56 Million

Guess Inc Investment Alerts

Guess Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Guess Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Guess, Inc. Reports Fiscal Year 2025 Third Quarter Results

Guess Inc Upcoming and Recent Events

12th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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22nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
12th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of October 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of January 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Guess Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Guess' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2003-02-26
2003-01-310.010.020.01100 
2002-02-28
2002-01-310.010.020.01100 
2001-11-01
2001-10-310.040.050.0125 
View All Earnings Estimates

Guess Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Guess' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Guess' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Guess' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Guess' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Guess Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Guess stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Apparel Idea
Apparel
USA Equities from Apparel industry as classified by Fama & French

Guess Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Nomura Holdings Inc2024-06-30
945.7 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
933.8 K
Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa2024-06-30
919.5 K
Bank Of Montreal2024-06-30
914.4 K
Bmo Capital Markets Corp.2024-06-30
914.4 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
813.8 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
774.2 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
600.2 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
591 K
Pacer Advisors, Inc.2024-06-30
M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
3.6 M
Note, although Guess' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Guess Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 891.15 M.

Guess Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.06 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.05 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.05 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.16 
Return On Capital Employed 0.15  0.35 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.15 
Return On Equity 0.29  0.29 

Management Efficiency

Guess Inc has Return on Asset of 0.0555 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0555 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.3502 %, implying that it generated $0.3502 on every 100 dollars invested. Guess' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Guess manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to gain to 0.16 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to gain to 0.35 in 2024. At this time, Guess' Asset Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 13.79  9.44 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 13.15  8.43 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 6.34  5.61 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.78  3.40 
Enterprise Value Multiple 6.34  5.61 
Price Fair Value 1.78  3.40 
Enterprise Value918.5 M1.1 B
Guess Inc benefits from a proactive management team that anticipates market trends. Our analysis delves into how this proactive stance influences financial metrics and stock valuation.
Dividend Yield
0.0665
Operating Margin
0.053
Profit Margin
0.0605
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0665
Beta
1.986

Technical Drivers

As of the 28th of November, Guess retains the Standard Deviation of 2.2, risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.19). Guess technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Guess Inc mean deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and kurtosis to decide if Guess is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 16.39 per share. Given that Guess Inc has information ratio of (0.18), we strongly advise you to confirm Guess Inc's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Guess Inc Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Guess middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Guess Inc. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Guess Inc Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Guess insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Guess' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Guess insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Guess Outstanding Bonds

Guess issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Guess Inc uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Guess bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Guess Inc has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Guess Predictive Daily Indicators

Guess intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Guess stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Guess Corporate Filings

8K
26th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
8th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
25th of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
23rd of October 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F3
16th of October 2024
An amendment to the original Schedule 13D filing
ViewVerify
F4
10th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
6th of September 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
28th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Guess Forecast Models

Guess' time-series forecasting models are one of many Guess' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Guess' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Guess Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Guess prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Guess shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Guess. By using and applying Guess Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Guess entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.09  0.17 
Operating Profit Margin 0.09  0.16 
Net Profit Margin 0.07  0.10 
Gross Profit Margin 0.44  0.44 

Current Guess Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Guess analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Guess analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
27.3Buy4Odds
Guess Inc current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Guess analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Guess stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Guess Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Guess conference calls.
Guess Analyst Advice Details

Guess Stock Analysis Indicators

Guess Inc stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Guess stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Guess shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Guess stock analysis, traders can identify Guess position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow275.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity684.9 M
Capital Lease Obligations708.8 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net913.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments360.3 M
Cash360.3 M
50 Day M A18.3628
Net Interest Income-9.7 M
Total Current Liabilities791.6 M
Forward Price Earnings6.7204
Investments-75.1 M
Interest Expense21.8 M
Stock Based Compensation20.2 M
Long Term Debt364.9 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding69.8 M
Tax Provision25.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.295
Other Current Assets84.1 M
Accounts Payable272.8 M
Net Debt802.3 M
Other Operating Expenses2.5 B
Non Current Assets Total1.4 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity2.6 B
Non Currrent Assets Other228.9 M

Additional Tools for Guess Stock Analysis

When running Guess' price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.