Amer Beacon Garcia Fund Market Value

GHQPX Fund  USD 8.65  0.02  0.23%   
Amer Beacon's market value is the price at which a share of Amer Beacon trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Amer Beacon Garcia investors about its performance. Amer Beacon is trading at 8.65 as of the 4th of December 2024; that is 0.23 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.67.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Amer Beacon Garcia and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Amer Beacon over a given investment horizon. Check out Amer Beacon Correlation, Amer Beacon Volatility and Amer Beacon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Amer Beacon.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Amer Beacon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amer Beacon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amer Beacon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Amer Beacon 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Amer Beacon's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Amer Beacon.
0.00
06/07/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Amer Beacon on June 7, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Amer Beacon Garcia or generate 0.0% return on investment in Amer Beacon over 180 days. Amer Beacon is related to or competes with American Beacon, American Beacon, American Beacon, American Beacon, American Beacon, American Beacon, and American Beacon. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in investment grade bonds More

Amer Beacon Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Amer Beacon's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Amer Beacon Garcia upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Amer Beacon Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Amer Beacon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Amer Beacon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Amer Beacon historical prices to predict the future Amer Beacon's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.268.659.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.858.249.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.338.719.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.568.618.67
Details

Amer Beacon Garcia Backtested Returns

Amer Beacon Garcia secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the fund had a -0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Amer Beacon Garcia exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Amer Beacon's mean deviation of 0.3152, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0867, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Amer Beacon are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Amer Beacon is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.83  

Excellent reverse predictability

Amer Beacon Garcia has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Amer Beacon time series from 7th of June 2024 to 5th of September 2024 and 5th of September 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Amer Beacon Garcia price movement. The serial correlation of -0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Amer Beacon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.83
Spearman Rank Test-0.82
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Amer Beacon Garcia lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Amer Beacon mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Amer Beacon's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Amer Beacon returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Amer Beacon has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Amer Beacon regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Amer Beacon mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Amer Beacon mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Amer Beacon mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Amer Beacon Lagged Returns

When evaluating Amer Beacon's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Amer Beacon mutual fund have on its future price. Amer Beacon autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Amer Beacon autocorrelation shows the relationship between Amer Beacon mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Amer Beacon Garcia.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Amer Mutual Fund

Amer Beacon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amer with respect to the benefits of owning Amer Beacon security.
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