Leuthold Global Fund Market Value

GLBLX Fund  USD 8.85  0.20  2.21%   
Leuthold Global's market value is the price at which a share of Leuthold Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Leuthold Global Fund investors about its performance. Leuthold Global is trading at 8.85 as of the 14th of December 2024; that is 2.21% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.05.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Leuthold Global Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Leuthold Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Leuthold Global Correlation, Leuthold Global Volatility and Leuthold Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Leuthold Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Leuthold Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Leuthold Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Leuthold Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Leuthold Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Leuthold Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Leuthold Global.
0.00
11/14/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Leuthold Global on November 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Leuthold Global Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Leuthold Global over 30 days. Leuthold Global is related to or competes with Leuthold Select, Leuthold E, Leuthold E, and Grizzly Short. The fund is a flexible fund which allocates its investments in global developed and emerging markets among the asset cla... More

Leuthold Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Leuthold Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Leuthold Global Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Leuthold Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Leuthold Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Leuthold Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Leuthold Global historical prices to predict the future Leuthold Global's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.978.859.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.098.979.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.018.899.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.709.259.79
Details

Leuthold Global Backtested Returns

Leuthold Global has Sharpe Ratio of -0.16, which conveys that the entity had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Leuthold Global exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Leuthold Global's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), mean deviation of 0.4676, and Standard Deviation of 0.8752 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.48, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Leuthold Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Leuthold Global is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.78  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Leuthold Global Fund has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Leuthold Global time series from 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024 and 29th of November 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Leuthold Global price movement. The serial correlation of -0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Leuthold Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.78
Spearman Rank Test-0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Leuthold Global lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Leuthold Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Leuthold Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Leuthold Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Leuthold Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Leuthold Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Leuthold Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Leuthold Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Leuthold Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Leuthold Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Leuthold Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Leuthold Global mutual fund have on its future price. Leuthold Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Leuthold Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Leuthold Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Leuthold Global Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Leuthold Mutual Fund

Leuthold Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Leuthold Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Leuthold with respect to the benefits of owning Leuthold Global security.
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