Grizzly Short Fund Market Value

GRZZX Fund  USD 5.34  0.03  0.56%   
Grizzly Short's market value is the price at which a share of Grizzly Short trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Grizzly Short Fund investors about its performance. Grizzly Short is trading at 5.34 as of the 13th of December 2024; that is 0.56 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 5.31.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Grizzly Short Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Grizzly Short over a given investment horizon. Check out Grizzly Short Correlation, Grizzly Short Volatility and Grizzly Short Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Grizzly Short.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Grizzly Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grizzly Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grizzly Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Grizzly Short 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Grizzly Short's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Grizzly Short.
0.00
11/19/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year and 26 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Grizzly Short on November 19, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Grizzly Short Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Grizzly Short over 390 days. Grizzly Short is related to or competes with Leuthold Global, Leuthold Select, Leuthold E, Leuthold E, and . The fund sells stocks and exchange traded funds short More

Grizzly Short Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Grizzly Short's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Grizzly Short Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Grizzly Short Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Grizzly Short's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Grizzly Short's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Grizzly Short historical prices to predict the future Grizzly Short's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.505.316.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.154.965.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.555.356.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.375.475.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grizzly Short. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grizzly Short's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grizzly Short's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Grizzly Short.

Grizzly Short Backtested Returns

Grizzly Short holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.21, which attests that the entity had a -0.21% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Grizzly Short exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Grizzly Short's Standard Deviation of 0.7934, risk adjusted performance of (0.18), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2857 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.77, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Grizzly Short are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Grizzly Short is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.58  

Modest predictability

Grizzly Short Fund has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Grizzly Short time series from 19th of November 2023 to 1st of June 2024 and 1st of June 2024 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Grizzly Short price movement. The serial correlation of 0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Grizzly Short price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.58
Spearman Rank Test0.46
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Grizzly Short lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Grizzly Short mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Grizzly Short's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Grizzly Short returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Grizzly Short has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Grizzly Short regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Grizzly Short mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Grizzly Short mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Grizzly Short mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Grizzly Short Lagged Returns

When evaluating Grizzly Short's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Grizzly Short mutual fund have on its future price. Grizzly Short autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Grizzly Short autocorrelation shows the relationship between Grizzly Short mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Grizzly Short Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Grizzly Mutual Fund

Grizzly Short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grizzly Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grizzly with respect to the benefits of owning Grizzly Short security.
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