Guangdong Investment (Germany) Market Value

GUG Stock  EUR 0.76  0.02  2.70%   
Guangdong Investment's market value is the price at which a share of Guangdong Investment trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Guangdong Investment Limited investors about its performance. Guangdong Investment is trading at 0.76 as of the 22nd of December 2024. This is a 2.70 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.76.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Guangdong Investment Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Guangdong Investment over a given investment horizon. Check out Guangdong Investment Correlation, Guangdong Investment Volatility and Guangdong Investment Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guangdong Investment.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guangdong Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guangdong Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guangdong Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Guangdong Investment 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guangdong Investment's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guangdong Investment.
0.00
01/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Guangdong Investment on January 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guangdong Investment Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guangdong Investment over 720 days. Guangdong Investment is related to or competes with American Water, Aqua America, United Utilities, Companhia, Gelsenwasser, and American States. Guangdong Investment Limited engages in water resources, infrastructure, property investment and development, department... More

Guangdong Investment Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guangdong Investment's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guangdong Investment Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Guangdong Investment Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guangdong Investment's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guangdong Investment's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guangdong Investment historical prices to predict the future Guangdong Investment's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.767.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.847.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.787.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.550.690.83
Details

Guangdong Investment Backtested Returns

Guangdong Investment is abnormally volatile given 3 months investment horizon. Guangdong Investment holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.24, which attests that the entity had a 0.24% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.54% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Guangdong Investment Limited risk adjusted performance of 0.1898, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.51 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Guangdong Investment holds a performance score of 18 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.99, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Guangdong Investment returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Guangdong Investment is expected to follow. Use Guangdong Investment Limited information ratio, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the downside deviation and total risk alpha , to analyze future returns on Guangdong Investment Limited.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.78  

Good predictability

Guangdong Investment Limited has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guangdong Investment time series from 2nd of January 2023 to 28th of December 2023 and 28th of December 2023 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guangdong Investment price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Guangdong Investment price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.78
Spearman Rank Test0.6
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Guangdong Investment lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Guangdong Investment stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guangdong Investment's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guangdong Investment returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guangdong Investment has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Guangdong Investment regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guangdong Investment stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guangdong Investment stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guangdong Investment stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Guangdong Investment Lagged Returns

When evaluating Guangdong Investment's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guangdong Investment stock have on its future price. Guangdong Investment autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guangdong Investment autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guangdong Investment stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guangdong Investment Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Guangdong Stock

Guangdong Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangdong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangdong with respect to the benefits of owning Guangdong Investment security.